Washington Trades Brian Goodwin

Sunday the Washington Nationals traded OF Brian Goodwin to the Kansas City Royals in exchange for prospect RHP Jacob Condra-Bogan.  The emergence of Juan Soto and the healthy return of Adam Eaton created a lack of playing time for Goodwin, and this trade helps alleviate Washington’s roster crunch.  In corresponding moves, LHP Sammy Solis will take Goodwin’s place on the active roster, while RHP Koda Glover was activated from the 60-Day disabled list to take the vacated spot on the 40-man.

The 27-year-old Goodwin was a Washington 2011 1st round selection (34th overall) and after a steady journey through the minors, reached the majors in 2016.  Due to injuries and Washington’s outfield depth, Goodwin never fully established himself as a major leaguer.  For his major league career, the left-handed hitting Goodwin has a .246/.315/.464 batting line with 16 home runs.  This season Goodwin never found his rhythm, batting only .200/.321/.354 with 26 strikeouts in 65 at-bats.

Goodwin is a passable defender at all three outfield positions, making him a productive 5th outfielder when healthy.  Lacking a clear path to playing time and out of minor league options, Washington did the practical thing to trade him to a rebuilding club where the opportunity exists for playing time.  Goodwin is pre-arbitration through 2019 and controllable through 2022.

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Condra-Bogan features a 3-pitch arsenal consisting of a mid-90s fastball that can touch 98mph, along with a below-average slider and changeup.  Combined with his solid control, the fastball is a “65” pitch and scouts believe the slider could have average future potential.  He is a pure relief prospect due to mechanics and lack of a changeup.  Condra-Bogan could move quickly through Washington’s system, with a future ceiling of a 7th inning reliever and a likely outcome of an up-and-down bullpen arm.

This is a relatively small, but interesting baseball swap.  The rebuilding Royals needed outfield help and made a savvy move to acquire Goodwin, who was languishing in Washington and desperately needed a change of scenery.  On the other hand, Washington lacks pitching prospect depth after several recent trades and woefully lacks pitchers with high-end velocity in their system, something Condra-Bogan immediately helps address.  I prefer Kansas City’s haul and believe Goodwin carves out a productive major league career, but Washington did well to receive an intriguing arm with major league potential in return.

NatsGM Grade  ->  C+

Washington Trades For All-Star Reliever Kelvin Herrera

Monday evening the Washington Nationals boldly traded prospects Blake Perkins, Kelvin Gutierrez and Yohanse Morel to the Kansas City Royals in exchange for 2-time All-Star reliever RHP Kelvin Herrera.  In addition Washington will absorb the remainder of Herrera’s contract, approximately $4.5 million this season.

The 28-year-old Herrera has been one of the best relief pitchers in the American League this decade, providing the Royals with a 2.75 ERA over 441.1 innings pitched, with 438 strikeouts against 371 hits and 128 walks, along with 57 saves.  After a subpar 2017, this season Herrera has been terrific, posting a 1.05 ERA with 14 saves for Kansas City in 25.2 innings.

Herrera features a 3-pitch repertoire, including a 96-98mph fastball, low-80s slider and upper-80s changeup.  Herrera does all the things a good relief pitcher does, he limits his walks (career 2.61 BB/9), hits (7.6 H/9) and home runs (career 0.73 HR/9) allowed, while striking out nearly a batter per inning (career 8.93 K/9).  Herrera is earning $7,937,500 in 2018 and will be a free agent at the end of the season.  He should immediate work as the primary set-up man ahead of closer Sean Doolittle and shift Ryan Madson and Brandon Kintzler into middle relief.

In exchange for Herrera Washington parted with three intriguing prospects, beginning with 21-year-old CF Blake Perkins.  Washington’s 2nd round pick in 2015, Perkins is a lean 6’1” 165lbs switch-hitting, right-handed throwing outfielder with easy plus speed.  Defensively Perkins is a terrific center fielder, utilizing his speed and long strides to effortlessly track the baseball.  He has a solid-average arm and outstanding instincts, allowing him to profile as a “60” defender.

Offensively Perkins has solid bat speed from both sides of the plate and understands his role as a table-setter in the lineup.  His swing, both lefty and righty, is a bit long and will need to decrease in order to make more contact.  Perkins needs to add strength and improve his balance at the plate, but with repetition, he could develop into an average hitter with occasional home run power.  Perkins has two plus tools and projects as a defensive-oriented 4th outfielder, with a ceiling as a below-average starter in center field.


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Kelvin Gutierrez was signed for $30,000 as an international free agent in 2013.  The 23-year-old Gutierrez has an impressive 6’3” 185lbs frame along with fringe-average speed.  Defensively Gutierrez profiles as a plus defender at the hot corner due to his  soft hands, solid first-step quickness and plus arm.  At the plate Gutierrez has impressive bat speed and shows raw power in batting practice, but it has yet to translate into game action.  He barrels the baseball well and there is loft in his swing, so scouts project him to add power in the future.  Gutierrez has a ceiling as a league-average starting third baseman if the power develops, with the likely outcome being a bench player or Quad-A 3B.

Kansas City will also receive 17-year-old RHP Yohanse Morel, a live-armed 6’0” 170lbs Dominican prospect Washington signed last July 2nd.  Morel has made one appearance this season for Washington’s Dominican Summer League team, pitching 3.1 innings with 6 hits and 1 walk against 5 strikeouts.  Reports have him with low-90s fastball velocity and a developing slider.  Morel is an intriguing “flyer” for Kansas City to gamble on as the 3rd player in the trade.

Kansas City and Washington made a rather traditional baseball trade, as the contending Nationals acquire an impending free agent to bolster their bullpen from the struggling Royals.  Kansas City did well to gather three prospects and eliminate more than $4 million in payroll for half a season of Herrera.  On the other hand, Herrera is a major addition to Washington’s relief corps, as he solidifies the 8th inning and allows Kintzler to handle the 6th, Madson to work the 7th and Justin Miller to slot in as a righty specialist.

The timing of this deal seems slightly odd, as Herrera was potentially the top reliever available this summer and Washington does not appear to have “overpaid” in prospect currency.  Washington’s roster is significantly stronger today with Herrera and the team did not part with a premium prospect.  The Nationals still needs help at catcher and perhaps a lefty specialist, but this trade makes Washington a legitimate contender to win the National League this year.

NatsGM Grade ->             B+

Reynolds’ Wraps Career In NY, Off To Washington

Late Monday, after several weeks of relative inactivity, the Washington Nationals acquired Matt Reynolds from division foe the New York Mets for cash considerations.  The Mets designated him for assignment last week in order to create a roster spot for free agent signee Todd Frazier.  Reynolds immediately finds himself on Washington’s 40-man roster, occupying the recently vacated spot by Raudy Read, who will serve an 80-game suspension for performance enhancing drug use.

The 27-year-old Reynolds was the Mets’ 2012 2nd round pick from the University of Arkansas who has split the past two seasons between AAA and the majors.  The right-handed hitting and throwing Reynolds is a career .279/.346/.396 hitter over 508 minor league games, with 26 home runs and 58 stolen bases.  In the majors he has struggled, hitting .228/.300/.351 over only 202 at-bats, along with an alarming 54.6% ground ball rate and a paltry 28.5% fly ball ratio.  He works the count, will take a walk and scouts believe there is some thump in his bat, but the predominance of ground balls limits his offensive potential.

Defensively Reynolds is extremely versatile, as he has played each defensive position besides catcher in the past two seasons.  He has decent speed and athleticism, along with a solid throwing arm and plenty of #Want, allowing him to outplay his physical tools.  He is a below-average defender at the up-the-middle positions (shortstop, second base and center field) and passable at the corner infield and outfield positions.  In this era of 12 and 13 man pitching staffs, Reynolds’ defensive flexibility make him a quality 25th man on a National League team.
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Obviously it is difficult to quibble with any acquisition that costs only cash considerations, but I do find the trade slightly intriguing – Washington’s offense seems relatively spoken for and the presence of similarly versatile Wilmer Difo, Howie Kendrick and Adrian Sanchez already on the 40-man roster make Reynolds feel somewhat redundant.  Reynolds has a minor league option remaining, so the organization is likely targeting him for Triple-A and to act as insurance for the major league roster.  In addition, do not be surprised if Washington tries to sneak Reynolds through waivers prior to Opening Day to clear a roster spot while keeping him in the organization.

Overall there is a bit of potential upside with Matt Reynolds if he can learn to consistently lift the ball.  Perhaps a change of scenery and a fresh opportunity with a new team, the first of his career, will allow him to blossom offensively.  I do not expect this to happen, but understand Washington’s front office gambling that the Mets’ underestimated Reynolds’ long-term potential.  Considering the minimal cost, I like this wager for the Nationals.

NatsGM Grade ->            B

Washington Procures Brandon Kintzler

Mere minutes before the MLB Trade Deadline, the Washington Nationals reached an agreement with Minnesota to acquire RHP Brandon Kintzler for LHP Tyler Watson and international bonus pool money.  A 2017 all-star for the Twins, Kintzler has worked as Minnesota’s closer the past two seasons, and should immediately upgrade the Nationals’ bullpen.  In a related move, the Nationals have designated RHP Jimmy Cordero for assignment to clear room on the 40-man roster.

The 32-year-old Kintzler was a middling reliever for Milwaukee the first six years of his career, before breaking out the past two in Minnesota, posting a 2.98 ERA and 45 saves over 99.2 innings with 62 strikeouts against only 21 walks.  While Kintzler lacks big swing-and-miss stuff (only 6.3 K/9), he limits his walks (2.2 BB/9), home runs allowed (0.8 HR/9) and induces ground balls at a strong 57.8% for his career.  He features primarily a 94mph sinker, along with a mid-90s 4-seam fastball, 87mph slider and upper-80s changeup.  There is some question whether he will work as the primary closer for Washington, but he should form a strong trio with Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson in the late innings.  Washington is on the hook for the remainder of Kintzler’s $2,925,000 salary before he becomes a free agent at the end of the season.

In return for Kintzler, Washington was forced to part with Tyler Watson, the team’s 2015 34th round pick who was signed to an overslot $400,000 bonus.  Blessed with a projectable 6-5 200lbs body, Watson possesses an impressive 3-pitch arsenal, featuring an 89-91mph fastball, a low-80s changeup and a mid-70s curveball.  Watson is a polished lefty with impressive command and an advanced approach attacking hitters.  Both his fastball and changeup project as average to above-average, with his curveball lagging behind as a probable fringe-average pitch.  Watson profiles as a #5 starter or long-reliever, with the ceiling of a #4 if his curveball improves with experience.

For more on Watson, please see my scouting report here -> http://natsgm.com/2017/05/10/scouting-tyler-watson-lhp-hagerstown-suns/
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Also, Washington will send international bonus pool money to Minnesota in this trade, reported to be $500,000 by MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand.  Due to ramifications from last year’s budget-breaking international crop, Washington is facing penalties internationally this year, making these funds somewhat extraneous.  However, it is still disappointing to see Washington not investing the portion they could trying to discover the next Victor Robles.

Washington and Minnesota completed a rather traditional trade deadline swap, as the contending Nationals acquired an impending free agent to bolster their bullpen from the rebuilding Twins.  Minnesota should be commended for obtaining a intriguing prospect plus international money for two months of Kintzler.  On the other hand, Washington’s bullpen and roster are stronger now with Kintzler, who lengthens the bullpen and gives them another closing option.

Unfortunately this feels like a small “overpay” by the Nationals, giving up yet another left-handed pitching prospect and a hefty international sum for the pure rental of a non-elite reliever.  Kintzler does not feel like the “significant upgrade” Washington arguably needed to compete with Chicago and Los Angeles to reach the World Series.  Considering superior option Justin Wilson was traded and Zach Britton and Brad Hand were likely available, this deal feels underwhelming like getting a pair of Latrell Sprewell’s Spinner shoes rather than classic Air Jordans.  Eventually I would have likely made this same swap, but I am left feeling like this was not the best move Washington could possibly make.

NatsGM Grade  ->           C / C-