Late Friday evening, mere hours before the midnight deadline and hours after trading Ryan Madson, Washington traded LHP Gio Gonzalez, plus international bonus money, to Milwaukee for prospects KJ Harrison and Gilbert Lara.  According to reports, Milwaukee will also take on the balance of Gonzalez’s $12 million 2018 salary before he reaches free agency this winter.

The 32-year-old Gonzalez has battled through a difficult 2018 season, posting a 7-11 record with a 4.57 ERA, allowing 153 hits and 70 walks against 126 strikeouts over 145.2 innings pitched. 2018 has been a tale of two halves for Gonzalez, as he posted a 3.74 ERA over 101.2 innings in the 1^st half, followed by a disastrous 6.55 ERA in 44 innings in the 2^nd half.  However, in his seven seasons in Washington, Gonzalez made 213 starts, throwing 1,253.1 innings with an 86-65 record and a 3.62 ERA.  He will now look to rebound with the Brewers, who desperately need another starting pitcher in their quest for the playoffs.

In return Washington receives KJ Harrison, Milwaukee’s 3^rd round pick in the 2017 MLB Draft after a strong career at Oregon State.  Defensively Harrison has split time this season at catcher, first base and designated hitter.  Behind the plate he shows excellent effort, but his fringe-average arm and poor receiving skills portend a future shift off the position.  He has good hands and footwork at first base, but will need to really slug if he permanently shifts to the cold corner.

At the plate the right-handed hitting Harrison shows feel for the barrel and above-average raw power.  The power plays closer to average in-game as a result of his contact issues.  He collects strikeouts like kids do germs, and he has a strong tendency to get pull conscious.  The 22-year-old has tools and a potentially intriguing ceiling if he remains a catcher and cuts down on his strikeouts; then again, this is unlikely to happen and make him project as a Triple-A player who might collect a cup of coffee in the big leagues.

Astute prospect nerds will quickly recognize Gilbert Lara’s name as a former July 2^nd bonus baby, signing with Milwaukee for $3.2 million in 2014.  Since then, the 20-year-old has flashed the tools that had him so hyped as an amateur, yet he has generally scuffled in game action.  This season Lara is repeating Low-A and hitting .249/.281/.353 with 5 home runs and 33 extra base hits in 115 games.  He has split time between shortstop and third base this season, holding his own at short but continues to outgrow the position.  He has the arm strength and quickness to project as a quality third baseman.
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Listed at 6’4” and 200lbs, Lara has a big, projectable frame and shows raw power in batting practice, yet this has not yet translated in games.  He has a long swing and poor balance at the plate, which hinders his ability to make contact.  Just 20-years-old, 21 in October, he still has major league potential due to his raw physical tools, but there is also a great risk he never graduates Double-A.  He is a massive boom-or-bust prospect at this point, but a nice gamble for Washington as a classic “change of scenery” player.

Gio & I

This deal is rather bittersweet, as trading away Gio feels like a gut punch in an overall difficult season for Nats’ fans.  He was inconsistent and maddening at times, but overall, Gonzalez provided Washington with seven excellent seasons.  Gio grew up in front of our eyes almost simultaneously as the Nationals matured into a winning organization.  He still has innings to throw, but I expect Washington to induct him into the team’s Ring of Honor soon after he retires.

From a baseball perspective, Washington did quite well to find a team willing to take on the remainder of Gonzalez’s salary and gather two intriguing prospects for five weeks of his services.  Milwaukee desperately needed another starter to help in their playoff chase, and Gio feels like he could be rejuvenated by a “change of scenery”.  While both Harrison and Lara have major league potential, neither departure is likely to hurt Milwaukee’s long-term future.  That said this feels like an overpay on Milwaukee’s part, as I am surprised Washington received more than salary relief in the deal.  Milwaukee fills a need, but Washington is the clear winner in this swap.

NatsGM Grade ->            B+

Ahead of the August 31^st deadline, the Washington Nationals announced they had traded RHP Ryan Madson to the Los Angeles Dodgers in exchange for prospect Andrew Istler.  The Dodgers claimed Madson off waivers earlier this week, and Friday the teams were able to come to an agreement.  In addition, the Dodgers will take on the entirety of Madson’s 2018 salary, a prorated portion of $7,666,666.

The 38-year-old Madson was acquired, along with Sean Doolittle, in July 2017 from Oakland for Blake Treinen, plus prospects Jesus Luzardo and Sheldon Neuse.  Madson struggled at times in 2018, but overall, pitched well in his time in Washington, posting a 4.08 ERA in 64 innings with 69 strikeouts and 5 saves.  Madson is a free agent at the end of the season, and with the Dodgers’ desperate for bullpen help ahead of closer Kenley Jansen, he should immediately address this weakness.

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Washington did well to acquire a potentially useful reliever and clear some payroll in exchange for five weeks of Madson’s services.  Similarly to the Brian Goodwin and Brandon Kintzler trades, Washington appears to be targeting relievers that limit walks and home runs in these late-season deals.  Los Angeles fills a desperate need with Madson, an experience veteran with playoff experience, and does not hinder their future.  However, I favor Washington’s end of this swap, as they did a nice job extracting some legitimate value for Madson before he reached free agency.

NatsGM Overall Grade -> B

Sunday afternoon the Washington Nationals announced they had traded RHP Shawn Kelley and cash considerations to Oakland for international bonus pool money.  Kelley had been designated for assignment earlier in the week after slamming his glove in frustration and glaring toward Washington’s dugout during a 25-4 victory.

The 34-year-old Kelley struggled early this season before rebounding to provide the Nationals with a 3.34 ERA over 32.1 innings, with 26 hits and 5 walks allowed against 32 strikeouts.  Unfortunately the underlying numbers are more concerning, as Kelley has allowed 7 home runs and is generating only a 27% ground ball ratio, while benefiting from a .229 BABIP against this season.  Kelley is in the final season of a 3-year $15 million contract, and posted a 3.87 ERA with 137 strikeouts in 116.1 innings pitched during his time in Washington.  He will now join former Nationals’ teammates Blake Treinen and Yusmeiro Petit in Oakland’s bullpen, while hoping the move to their spacious home park will negate his home run tendencies.

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Shawn Kelley pitched relatively well in his 2.5 years for the Nationals, and this feels like an unceremonious end to his time in Washington.  Obviously his poor sportsmanship last week forced this move, but losing another quality reliever is difficult as Washington tries to challenge Philadelphia for the division title.  Washington’s loss is Oakland’s gain, as they add a solid reliever to their bullpen for a relatively minor cost.  Oakland is the big winner in this swap, although Washington did well to extract any value for Kelley.

NatsGM Grade ->            D+

Ahead of the July 31^st non-waiver MLB Trade Deadline, the Washington Nationals dealt RHP Brandon Kintzler to the Chicago Cubs for prospect RHP Jhon Romero.  With a current 52-53 record, Washington faced a difficult decision of whether to “buy” or “sell”, yet surprisingly, this was the only move the Nationals made during a frenetic trade deadline.

The almost 34-year-old Kintzler (Happy Birthday Wednesday!) struggled to begin the season but has rebounded to post a 3.59 ERA over 42.2 innings pitched, with 40 hits and 13 walks allowed against 31 strikeouts.  Acquired at last summer’s trade deadline, Kintzler was solid in his two seasons in Washington, providing the Nationals with a 3.54 ERA in 68.2 innings pitched.  Kintzler re-signed with Washington last winter to a 1-year $5 million contract, with a mutual option for 2019 – the team option is worth $10 million or Kintzler can pick up a $5 million player option.  This deal frees Washington from this potential financial obligation next season, while also adding to the organization’s pitching depth.

In return for Kintzler, Washington receives Jhon Romero, a 23-year-old right-handed relief prospect who has acted as the closer for High-A Myrtle Beach in 2018.  This season Romero has a 3.29 ERA in 44 innings pitched, with 40 hits and 17 walks allowed against 57 strikeouts.  Of note, he has allowed only 1 home run in his entire 96 inning career.  A pure relief prospect, Romero is blessed with a 92-95mph fastball, touching higher on occasion, an intriguing curveball and a poor changeup.  He has 7^th inning upside due to his solid command of a powerful fastball and curveball, with the likely outcome being an up-and-down reliever.
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This trade feels generally puzzling, as Kintzler had been pitching well recently, does not earn a large salary and the Cubs should be considered competition for Washington to earn a playoff berth.  In addition, the team does not face a roster crunch in the bullpen, nor does this return feel so substantial the team could not refuse the offer.  Therefore I am left to speculate why Washington seemed so eager to part with him.

Overall Washington weakened their bullpen and downgraded their roster, while acquiring a prospect that should slot in around #21-#25 in their organizational prospect rankings.  On the surface, the return feels reasonable, if not slightly light, but when coupled with their current position in the standings, this deal feels perplexing and rather underwhelming.

NatsGM Grade ->             D