Hunter Harvey   RHP  Bowie Baysox  (Baltimore Double-A)     Date Evaluated: 5/15/18

Ht: 6-3   Wt: 175lbs     B/T – R/R              Age (as of April 1, 2018): 23 (12/9/94)

Fastball (55/60)   Curveball (50/60)   Changeup (40/45)   Command (40/45)

Baltimore’s 1^st round pick in 2013, Harvey has struggled with injuries since being drafted, only throwing 144.1 innings since turning professional.  When healthy, Harvey has produced dominant strikeout numbers from his impressive three-pitch arsenal, while showing enough control for Baltimore to develop him as a starting pitcher.

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The curveball is his best off-speed pitch, sitting 78-81mph with solid 11-5 movement and two-plane depth.  When he stays on top of the ball and does not slow his arm speed, it shows late break and is a swing-and-miss out-pitch.  The curveball is inconsistent, as others will show move “loop” and 10-4 shape, but it is a present “50” and could get to a “60” with repetition.  Finally the changeup sits 83-86mph with promising arm-side run when he maintains his arm speed.  He has a tendency to slow his body, which tips the pitch immediately to the hitter.  Also, when not fully committed to the pitch, it has a tendency to replicate a batting practice fastball rather than a changeup.  It flashes future “45” type potential, but he will need to commit himself to the pitch to reach that potential.

Harvey is an interesting dilemma for Baltimore, as he has the body and the repertoire to be a #4 starting pitcher.  Unfortunately his injury history, combined with his age, lack of experience and lack of confidence in his changeup point toward a shift to relief.  I expect Baltimore to continue to develop him as a starter throughout 2018 and shift him to the bullpen next year, where he projects as a “55” set-up reliever.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihds4Nh0DQY

Keegan Akin        LHP        Frederick Keys

DOB: 4/1/95    Height: 6-0       Weight: 225lbs           Bats: Left          Throws: Left

Fastball (50/55)    Slider (45/50)     Changeup (40/45)   Command (50/50+)

2^nd round pick, 54^th overall, by Baltimore in 2016, signed for $1,177,200 – 22y/o who is listed as 6-0 225lbs, well-built and stocky physique with little to no projection remaining.  Akin throws from a high 3/4s arm slot and utilizes a waist-high or slightly above leg-lift; possesses a simple one-step movement into leg-lift and drives toward home, repeats mechanics well.  Will occasionally lose balance toward second base, causing his arm to lag behind his lower half.  Akin keeps his body slightly closed to lefties, allowing him to hide the baseball and deceive hitters.  A very polished pitcher for High-A, Akin pounds the bottom of the strike zone, changes the batters’ eye level and sets up hitters.

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3-pitch repertoire:  Fastball (89-92mph, T93) shows good life at the upper velocity bands and can sink the pitch at lower velocities.  Akin keeps the ball down in the zone, can both cut or sink it and locates it well inside to righties.  Akin commands his fastball to all four quadrants and the pitch consistently shows some type of wiggle.  Changeup (80-83mph) was inconsistent, as the pitch was rather mediocre early, but flashed good sink and arm-side fading action later in the outing.  He will slow his arm speed on the poor offerings, but when he replicates the arm action, the pitch can be a fringe-average to average.  The slider (81-83mph) was thrown only a few times but showed average potential.  Akin threw his slider both in the zone for a strike and in the dirt as a chase pitch; can look slurvy at worst, needs repetitions to refine the offering.

Akin is an impressive and polished collegiate pitcher who looks advanced for High-A.  He possesses a future above-average fastball, an easily repeatable delivery and the chance for average to above-average command.  Unfortunately Akin lacks a plus offering or the projection remaining in his frame to believe his stuff could significantly improve.  This leaves him with a relatively similar ceiling and floor, as Akin profiles as a major league arm, with the ceiling of a #5 back-end starting pitcher and the likely outcome being a long reliever and occasional spot starter.  He is a low-to-medium risk prospect with a low-to-medium ceiling.  Akin could see a promotion to Double-A later this summer and projects to be major league ready late in 2018 or 2019.

https://youtu.be/h8oRnkuyWSY