Last Friday afternoon on Day 2 of the 2016 MLB Draft, the Washington Nationals selected Florida high school left-handed pitcher Jesus Luzardo as their 3rd round pick. This was an intriguing pick, not only because it was #94 overall, but because Luzardo was considered a 1st round talent before undergoing Tommy John surgery in March.
Upon further research, I learned Luzardo participated in the Perfect Game All-America Classic game last summer played at Wrigley Field in Chicago. Since I have the event saved on the DVR in THE NatsGM Studios, I decided to re-watch the game to evaluate his strengths and weaknesses. The obvious caveats of this game occurring 10 months ago and pre-surgery aside, I thought it might be intriguing to put Jesus Luzardo through my infamous, Armchair Evaluation.
The now 18-year-old Luzardo entered the game in the top of the 4th inning and needed only 17 pitches to retire the side in order. He threw 10 strikes against 7 balls, inducing two meager grounders to first base and striking out Nationals’ 1st round pick Carter Kieboom looking for the third out.
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In this one inning outing Luzardo flashed his 4-pitch arsenal, featuring a 91-93mph fastball with cutting movement, an upper-70s slider he was struggling to command and a low-70s curveball, plus an above-average 79-81mph changeup with excellent fading action. He located his fastball well, especially up-and-in to righties, inducing two feeble ground ball outs. The changeup was truly impressive for a high school pitcher, as he replicated his arm speed particularly well and could throw it for strikes. One inning is difficult to judge a pitcher’s command and control, but Luzardo attacked hitters with a plan, showing maturity beyond his years. If forced to judge, I would put a “55” on his fastball, no grade on the breaking pitches (he threw three and obviously lacked any feel) and a “55/60” on his changeup.
While watching a one inning appearance in an All-Star game on television is not the best way to evaluate a player, this outing did give a nice insight into the overall prospect profile of Jesus Luzardo. He has a polished delivery and a solid 4-pitch arsenal, with a mature approach toward attacking opposing hitters. He has an above-average fastball and changeup, along with the obvious ability to spin a breaking ball. He needs experience on the mound to refine his breaking pitches and to repeat his delivery, but the overall “starter kit” is quite impressive.
The Nationals are taking a gamble selecting an injured high school pitcher with a top-100 pick, but the reward could be a #3/#4 starting pitcher down the road if he can properly rehabilitate his arm. In addition, there is no question he would not have been available in Round 3 if he was healthy at draft time, making this a shrewd gamble by the Washington Nationals.
Jesus mechanics remind me
Of Silvestre wind up and follow through .
Just an opinion
Luzardo has reportedly already agreed to sign with the Nats.
for $1,400,000. Over slot by $764.2K. Love the risk/reward of this pick. Same with Nick Banks, after his surgery earlier this Fall. 2 1st Round talents entering the year.
8th Round pick, A.J. Bogucki has also been announced for $150,000. Under slot by $27.7K. Kieboom has agreed to terms. No numbers yet. It will be interesting to see where the team attempts to make up the difference for Luzardo’s #’s, and if any money is left for an over Bonus signing after Round 10.
Also did a little digging. And it seems, 19th round, 574th pick: C Jarrett Gonzales, Madison HS (Tx.) – 5-foot-11 and 185 pounds, who also plays shortstop. Signed to play at Grayson Junior College. And…32nd round, 964th pick: 3B Garrett Gonzales, James Madison HS – The fourth high school player selected by the Nationals in this draft. At 5-foot-11, 165 pounds, Gonzales is committed to play college baseball at Incarnate Word.
Both are Cousins and seem related to Nationals Scout Jimmy Gonzales. Gonzales runs the Nationals Youth Scout League and the Jimmy Gonzales Baseball Academy in San Antonio. Which could mean both will sign. If so, the Nats will have locked up their Top 4 HS selections. Kieboom (Round 1), Luzardo (Round 3), Jarrett Gonzales (Round 19), Garrett Gonzales (Round 32).
Great info CD, thanks for the info!
$1.4 sounds like a lot to me to get Luzardo signed and the other top-10 picks, but I am excited to get him in the organization – I was quite impressed by what I saw on video from last summer.