Drafted by the Orioles in the 5th round last summer out of Tennessee Tech, the 21-year-old Hess was given an aggressive assignment by Baltimore to High-A Frederick to begin 2015. Due to his impressive draft pedigree and the intrigue of the bold decision by Baltimore to have him essentially skip Low-A Delmarva, I was eager to observe David Hess in his third start at the High-A level against the Wilmington Blue Rocks.

Immediately one is impressed with Hess physically, as he is a well-built 6-2 180lbs, with strong legs and a rather high waist. In fact, I would take the over 180, as he looks much closer to 200lbs. The 21-year-old Hess has a relatively simple delivery although there is plenty of effort involved. He has a motion and body type that points toward the bullpen but he is consist with his release point and holds his velocity while throwing enough strikes to give him a chance to remain a starter.

In this viewing Hess featured a 4-pitch mix including a 90-93mph fastball, touching 94mph, with late life that he could locate down in the strike zone. In addition Hess showed an 82-84mph slider with sweeping 10-4 movement that he could bury in the dirt as a chase pitch or locate for the strike. His slider was inconsistent, as 2-3 flashed above-average to plus potential, while others were below-average spinners. Furthermore, Hess showed a low-70s curveball which he used as a show-me pitch or a first-pitch “get me over” offering, along with a few firm mid-80s changeups. Overall Hess shows an above-average to plus present fastball, an average slider with potential for more, and two below-average pitches in his curveball and changeup.
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I came away from this outing quite impressed by Hess and his future as a prospect. Hess possesses two potentially above-average offerings in his fastball and slider, repeats his delivery fairly well and pounds the strike zone. The effort involved in his delivery and the lack of a third present pitch likely portends a future in the bullpen, but the Orioles are wise to let him work as a starter this season to expedite his development. Hess is a major league quality arm and looks like a steal for the Orioles in the 5th round last summer.

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In addition, friend of the site and Baseball Prospectus Prospect Team member Tucker Blair was sitting directly in front of me for this start and was kind enough to share his thoughts on David Hess –

“While Hess has four pitches, I envision a long-term relief profile due to the lack of a secondary offering that can consistently cause deception or timing issues relative to the FB/SL. Hess has a fastball that can touch 96 mph, and the slider has hard bite. The mechanics are relatively clean, but the head whack, inverted landing, and moderate exertion lead me to believe his best role is suited for the bullpen.” – Tucker Blair, Baseball Prospectus

Last weekend I took advantage of the nice weather to sit on the weekend series between the Frederick Keys, the Orioles High-A affiliate, and the Wilmington Blue Rocks, the Kansas City farm club. All winter I have been anticipating watching the talented hitting prospects from last year’s Delmarva team, namely Chance Sisco, Josh Hart and Drew Dosch, graduate to Frederick. Unfortunately both Sisco and Hart are currently nursing injuries on the disabled list, which allowed me an opportunity to take an extended look at Dosch.

Offensively Dosch is a left-handed hitter with a short, compact swing and shows looseness in his wrists. His swing is extremely flat and linear, making it difficult for him to generate much loft on the ball and thus, limits his potential to hit for power. Dosch does well recognizing and hitting fastballs, but he struggles mightily identifying offspeed pitches, especially anything with spin. I am concerned as he moves through the minors and the pitcher’s breaking stuff continues to improve, he will rack up large strikeout numbers. Overall I like his swing for the purposes of making contact but I am wary of his future power production and his ability to make contact against quality offspeed offerings.

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Defensively I came away from this weekend woefully disappointed in Dosch and his future at the hot corner. First the positives – Dosch has soft hands, good lateral agility and a relatively accurate throwing arm. Unfortunately that’s where the compliments end, as Dosch shows below-average arm strength, poor mechanics when throwing the ball (he slows down his arm during release and throws from a stiff front leg) and very sloppy footwork defensively. I cannot see him playing third base in the big leagues and I fear his footwork will not be conducive at second base and his arm strength would make a transition to a corner outfield spot unlikely as well.

In summary, I see Dosch possessing below-average speed, power, arm strength and defensive skills, with his bat rating closer to fringe-average. At 6-2 200lbs and almost 23 years of age, there is little projection physically remaining with him, meaning that the improvements to his game must likely come from a skills perspective going forward. I like Dosch’s swing but I have reservations with his future defensive position and how he profiles in the majors.

https://youtu.be/kbWQjldHZ10