Evaluating Baltimore Orioles Prospect Jomar Reyes

Posted on September 17, 2015 by Ryan Sullivan

Dates Scouted: 7+ times in 2015, Most Recently 8/6

7-Word Scouting Report: Potential Six-Six Bat, First Base Profile

Signed by the Baltimore Orioles for $350,000 out of the Dominican Republic, Jomar Reyes was the largest expenditure the team made during the 2013-2014 international signing period. Since signing a professional contract Reyes has exploded upon the prospect scene, serving as the starting third baseman and #3 hitter for Low-A Delmarva in 2015 as an 18-year-old.

Immediately Reyes passes the eye test from scouts, standing much larger than his listed 6-3 220lbs – he looks much closer to 6-6 250lbs and resembles a leaner J.J. Watt physically. He possesses a strong above-average to plus throwing arm and has some reasonable agility and first-step quickness. Additionally he shows soft hands and a quick release on his throws. Unfortunately Reyes already has below-average speed and projects to slow down as he continues to physically mature. Considering his age, mass and speed, Reyes projects to outgrow the hot corner, meaning his eventual position is likely across the diamond at first base rather than moving to the outfield.

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Reyes began the year off-the-radar except to only the most diehard baseball fans, yet finishes 2015 as one of the best hitting prospects in the low minors. No question he is still raw both offensively and defensively, but it is extremely rare to find a hitter with such a patient approach, sound swing mechanics and power at such a young age. Orioles’ fans must be patient with Reyes, as he needs game experience and projects as a level-to-level type prospect in his journey to the major leagues. That said this timetable would still have him arrive in Baltimore at only 21-year-old.

The Orioles farm system is still rather shallow and considering injury concerns with top pitching prospects Dylan Bundy and Hunter Harvey, there is a strong case to be made that Reyes is the #1 prospect in Baltimore’s organization. His ceiling is a .280-.290 type hitter with 25-35 home run power at first base. It feels unwise to project an 18-year-old to have all-star potential, but Reyes is easily one of my favorite hitting prospects in the minor leagues and my current choice as the top prospect in Baltimore’s system.

https://youtu.be/U6G0Qj9Dlxo

Prospect Potpourri

Posted on September 15, 2015 by Ryan Sullivan

LHP Nick Lee

After many months of sitting in the bleachers and scouting hundreds of aspiring major league baseball players, often prospects and their scouting reports fall through the cracks, never appearing in print here on NatsGM. In a new feature, today I provide scouting notes on four prospects, LHP Nick Lee of the Washington Nationals, Ty Buttrey with the Boston Red Sox, and high school players Blake Rutherford and Jonathan Gettys.

Nick Lee LHP Harrisburg Senators

Recently the Washington Nationals announced their 7-man squad to represent the organization in the Arizona Fall League and Nick Lee was one of the names on this list. Drafted in the 18th round of the 2011 MLB Draft our of Weatherford College, Lee split time in 2015 with both High-A Potomac and Double-A Harrisburg, pitching 52 innings with a 3.12 ERA, a 1.404 WHIP and 57 strikeouts against 34 walks allowed.

Lee is a pure left-handed relief prospect, featuring a 93-94mph fastball that can touch 96mph with excellent late life. He shows the ability to locate the fastball well to the glove-side but struggles with command toward the arm-side in my viewings. In addition Lee features a 79-82mph slider with swing-and-miss potential as a chase pitch against opposing hitters. He does a nice job of burying the slider in the dirt, but has trouble locating it in the zone for called strikes.

Now 24-years-old and owning a career 4.8 BB/9 ratio, Lee needs to start limiting his walks to allow himself to continue to climb the organizational ladder. He has flaws in his potential major league profile, but any lefty with mid-90s velocity and an offspeed pitch that can induce whiffs is a name worth remembering for the Nationals in the future.

Ty Buttrey RHP Salem Red Sox

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A former 2012 4th round pick who received a $1.4 million bonus to sign out of high school, Buttrey owns a near ideal pitchers’ frame standing 6-6 235lbs. Buttrey is a massive 22-year-old pitcher featuring a straight over-the-top arm-slot. He is still quite raw on the mound and struggles to maintain a consistent spine angle, making it difficult to maintain his release point and hinders his command of the strike zone.

In this viewing Buttrey showed a 3-pitch mix including a 91-93mph fastball with good life and some arm-side wiggle. Buttrey also showed an inconsistent, 12-5 downward moving 76-80mph curveball and an average 82-84mph changeup with tumbling movement much like a split-finger.

Buttrey is an impressive prospect with plenty of physical promise and tools, but the refinement of his skills lags far behind a player possessing his pedigree. Any organization would be thrilled to have him in their farm system, as his immense talent could quickly turn into production on the field; however, right now this is an extremely high-risk/high-reward prospect.

Blake Rutherford CF Simi Valley, California – Perfect Game All-American Classic 8/16/15

Rutherford was one of the best hitting prospects at the Perfect Game Classic, as this UCLA commit has a dreamy 6-2 190lbs body with plenty of physical projection remaining. He shows quick, flexible wrists and noticeable bat speed through his left-handed swing. Also, Rutherford flashes some bat-to-ball aptitude also, giving him a chance to be a potential above-average hitter with average power. Defensively Rutherford shows good speed in the outfield and a solid throwing arm, which allows him to profile as a centerfielder long-term. Rutherford profiles as an above-average 2-way centerfielder with an extremely projectable body, making him a potential high 1st rounder next summer.

Jonathan Gettys LHP Gainesville, Georgia HS – Under Armour All-America Game 8/15/15

The brother of top San Diego Padres prospect Michael Gettys, Jonathan Gettys entered the Under Armour game in the 9th inning to serve as the closer for the National team. Gettys is a well-built, stocky lefty with some excess movement and a cross-fire during his delivery, though he repeats his motion fairly well while creating some deception. He sat 89-92mph with the fastball with some arm-side wiggle and a devastating 77mph hammer curveball with 1-7 movement. Armed with a powerful physique and the potential for two plus pitches, Jonathan is likely to pass on his commitment to LSU and follow his brothers’ footsteps by signing into professional baseball out of high school next year.

Scouting Washington Nationals 3B Prospect Drew Ward

Posted on September 11, 2015 by Ryan Sullivan

Dates Scouted: 12+ Times, Most Recently 9/5 – 9/7

7-Word Scouting Report: Plus Arm, Power ; Questionable Hit, Defensive Profile

The Washington Nationals 3rd Round pick, 105th overall, in the 2013 MLB Draft, Drew Ward was given a well over-slot signing bonus of $850,000 out of a small Oklahoma high school. After a solid season in 2014 in Low-A, the Nationals promoted Ward to High-A for 2015, where he battled through a difficult season as a 20-year-old in the Carolina League. Ward spent 2015 acting as the Potomac Nationals everyday third baseman, hitting .249/.327/.358 with 6 home runs and 27 extra base hits over 111 games played. While those numbers feel underwhelming on the surface, the Nationals see enough potential in Ward that they selected him as one of their seven representatives to the Arizona Fall League next month.

Offensively Ward has legitimate raw power due in part to his 6-4 215lbs physique and lengthy left-handed swing. He shows power to all fields during batting practice, in addition to solid-average bat speed through the strike zone. His body, especially his lower half, has some excess movement early, which hinders his ability to barrel velocity or quality breaking pitches. He has shown some signs during the year of cutting down on his swing and quieting his body, but he still needs additional refinement to improve his swing. Still not old enough to legally drink alcohol, there is plenty of time for him to make the necessary adjustments and develop into a possible “35/40” hit, “45/50” raw power hitter in the future.

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On defense Ward provides a difficult profile, as he has a cannon for an arm, but lacks the agility and first-step quickness one expects from an infielder. His easy plus or “60” arm works at the hot corner, but his sheer size as he matures and his below-average athleticism will likely push him off the position. I would label him as a “40” future defender at third base. However Ward possesses decent speed for a big man, especially once underway, leading me to believe a corner outfield position could be a fit to capitalize on his arm strength.

Every prospect is by definition an enigma until they establish themselves in the major leagues; Drew Ward is a perplexing puzzle even by prospect standards. He has excellent raw power during batting practice, yet his long swing and excess body movement makes it difficult to translate during games. In the field Ward has an arm most players would covet, yet his athleticism and agility make him difficult to confidently project anywhere besides first base. That said one must remember he is still only 20-years-old, competing against players significantly older and more polished than him.

So this leaves us with a divisive prospect – Ward’s fans see a young player with two plus tools holding his own against older competition. His detractors see 18 total home runs in nearly 1,000 minor league at-bats from a future first baseman and dismiss him as an organizational talent.

Personally I lean more toward the former, with the caveat that I see his future in the outfield. I have observed Ward make subtle adjustments during 2015 and think with another year or two of professional instruction his 58 career minor league doubles begin translating to home runs. I put Ward’s ceiling as the strong-side of a platoon in the corner outfield, while his most likely outcome is a multipurpose reserve with left-handed power off the bench. Ward is a risky but intriguing prospect and Nationals’ fans should remember him as a potential breakout player in 2016.

** Special Thank You to Bryan Holland and the Potomac Nationals for their hospitality the entire 2015 season… Thanks! **

Evaluating Washington Nationals Prospect Chris Bostick

Posted on September 10, 2015 by Ryan Sullivan

Dates Scouted: 6+ Times in 2015, Most Recently 7/16 & 7/18

7-Word Scouting Report: Plus Speed, Intriguing Power, Questionable Profile, Sleeper

Acquired along with Abel De Los Santos from Texas last offseason for LHP Ross Detwiler, the 22-year-old Bostick quietly had a productive season splitting time for both the Potomac Nationals and Harrisburg Senators in 2015. Bostick played in 137 games this season (62 for Potomac, 75 for Harrisburg), hitting a combined .258/.312/.398 with 12 home runs, 42 extra base hits and 31 stolen bases. He spent most of the season playing second base, though he did see some time at left field, center field and shortstop.

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In the field Bostick was drafted as a shortstop by Oakland in the 44th round of the 2011 draft, but was quickly shifted to the keystone upon signing a professional contract. Bostick is a wiry 5-11 185lbs with excellent athleticism and the projection remaining in his lean frame to add 5-8lbs of positive mass. He owns outstanding plus or “60” speed, which he has used to steal 96 bases in 480 career minor league games. Bostick has an average (“50”) arm with a reasonably quick release. Unfortunately these skills do not add up to a dynamic defensive second baseman, as Bostick does not look comfortable and will make errors on the routine play. I project him as a potential “40” defender at second and think his future could be in the outfield to capitalize on his speed.

Offensively Bostick is a right-handed hitter possessing obvious bat speed and loose wrists, whipping the barrel through the strike zone. His swing has some undesired length but the authority which he swings the bat allows him to make violent contact, as his 92 extra base hits the past two seasons indicate. The length in Bostick’s swing causes a moderate whiff rate, although he tries to counteract that by taking the occasional walk. If he can tighten up his swing and make a few adjustments, Bostick profiles as a potential “40/45” hitter in the future.

Although Bostick failed to match his breakout 2014 hitting 52 extra base hits, this year was another successful season in his progression toward the major leagues. Bostick has excellent speed, along with a solid throwing arm and interesting power potential for a middle infielder. I fear his lack of a second above-average or better tool and his awkwardness at second base will shift his major league profile toward a bench player. That said his exciting combination of power and speed from someone capable of playing an up-the-middle position makes him a promising prospect.

If Bostick can make the refinements to his swing and improve his skills on defense, he could still develop into a starting second baseman down the road. Most likely, he settles into a role as a multipurpose bench player who offers speed and right-handed power. This is a valuable asset to any National League team, especially through his arbitration years. Chris Bostick reminds me of the 2001 Dr. Dre classic, “Forgot About Dre”, because people are sleeping on his potential – He is a future major leaguer.