Dane Dunning RHP Kannapolis Intimidators (Low-A Chicago White Sox)
Fastball (55/60) / Slider (45/50) / Curveball (30/30) / Changeup (50/55)
7-Word Scouting Report: Above-Average Fastball, Developing Secondary Offerings, #4/#5 Profile
1st round pick, 29th overall in 2016 by Washington from the University of Florida; traded as part of the Adam Eaton swap. Listed as 6-4 200lbs, lean body with projection remaining. 22.5 y/o with 3/4s arm slot, repeats mechanics reasonably well but will alter leg-kick between waist-high and letter-high. Deception in his delivery, slightly closed to righties and hides ball well. Polished pitcher for Low-A, holds runners, fields his position and sets up hitters – will change eye level, works both sides of the plate, keeps the ball down in the zone.
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4-pitch repertoire – Fastball sits 91-93mph, T94 2x with sink, pounds the lower part of the strike zone but can elevate to change eye level. Pitch can show cut at lower velocities. Slider (80-83mph) was inconsistent in this viewing, early the pitch was round and rather slurvy; pitch improved during appearance with good tilt and better shape. Curveball (74-76mph) was thrown twice, loopy pitch used as a change of pace offering. Changeup (82-84mph) shows good arm speed and arm-side fade, can locate it for strikes, additional repetitions will improve consistency.
Polished collegiate pitcher far too advanced for Low-A. Used in relief and mid-week starts in college, so arm has less wear than average. Fastball is a future plus and his changeup, slider and command could be average or better with development. Biggest risk is the distance to the major leagues. Dunning profiles as a back-end starting pitcher, with the ceiling of a mid-rotation starter if the secondary pitches both get to above-average. High-floor, medium risk prospect. Should reach High-A before Memorial Day & major league ETA is 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YE4I9d4Grc