Scouting Scouting – The Value of Position Flexibility with John Eshleman

In Part-1 of a 2-Part Series (and a new addition to THE NatsGM Radio Network) entitled “Scouting Scouting“, we have invited 2080 Baseball Senior Evaluator John Eshleman to be our debut guest.

This week’s topic is Position Flexibility and the assumptions scouts make that players can easily slide down the defensive scale.  This discussion leads into a separate but related topic, specifically, if team’s should prioritize defensive versatility more than they do presently, perhaps at the detriment of developing a player’s defensive ceiling.  Ryan, looking somewhat through the lens as a General Manager, argues Yes, while John takes the position of No.
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We encourage you to leave your thoughts in the comment’s section below and thank you for listening!

Introducing Washington Nationals Austen Williams

Austen Williams              RHP                  Washington Nationals

DOB: 12/19/1992    Height:  6’3”       Weight: 220        Bats: Right      Throws: Right

Washington drafted Austen Williams in the 6th round of the 2014 draft after an impressive career at Texas State University.  Listed at 6’3” 220, Williams has a prototypical Texan build, with thick legs and a powerful upper-body.  The almost 26-year-old is an average athlete who fields his position reasonably well.  Formerly a starter, Williams has found a home working in relief, where his fiery, competitive temperament is a natural fit.

Williams throws from a high three-quarters arm-slot and utilizes a pure stretch delivery.  He will turn his body slightly toward third base during his delivery, which provides a degree of deception to the hitter, but hinders his ability to consistently repeat his delivery.  However, he shows at least average command and control as a reliever, and potentially above-average at his best.  Williams pounds the lower-third of the strike zone and can hit his spots in all four quadrants.
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He possesses a three-pitch arsenal, consisting of a fastball, curveball and changeup.  The fastball sits 91-to-94mph with natural arm-side movement.  He has added velocity since moving to the bullpen, and the pitch now plays as average to slightly above-average.  The curveball is easily the best secondary offering, sitting 80-to-83mph with quality spin and depth at the upper velocity range.  It can get slurvy, but projects as average to above-average.  Finally Williams will flash the occasional 81-to-84mph changeup.  The speed differential between the fastball is ideal, but it lacks movement and is a below-average offering.

Washington added Williams to their 40-man roster late in the season, and he could be a potential bullpen option in 2019.  The combination of a quality fastball and curveball, plus his solid command make him a promising relief option, yet his lack of premium velocity or a plus off-speed pitch limits his overall ceiling.  Nevertheless, he has transformed himself from a likely career minor leaguer as a starter into a major leaguer out of the bullpen.  Williams has a ceiling as a league-average 7th inning reliever, with the likely outcome being he spends the next couple seasons splitting time between Triple-A and the majors.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G03k9rEQFHo

Prospect Spotlight: Jacob Condra-Bogan

Jacob Condra-Bogan       RHP        Potomac Nationals (High-A)

DOB: 8/30/1994     Height: 6’3”        Weight: 220       Bats: Right       Throws: Right

Jacob Condra-Bogan has an interesting backstory; originally drafted by Toronto in the 32nd round in 2017 after a career at Georgia Southern, he was unable to agree to terms with Toronto and was forced to play independent ball in the frontier league.  Kansas City signed him last winter, optioned him to Low-A to begin 2018 and watched him dominate the competition.  Condra-Bogan’s impressive results caught the Nationals’ attention, as he was the return for trading OF Brian Goodwin to the Royals in July.
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Condra-Bogan works exclusively from the stretch and utilizes an incredibly short arm swing into a traditional three-quarters arm slot.  It is almost jarring how fast he releases the ball from his hand.  He has a solid pitcher’s frame at 6’3” 220lbs (probably closer to 240lbs) and will need to watch his waistline as he matures.  Condra-Bogan is a below-average athlete who can struggle to repeat his delivery and is not particularly adept at fielding his position.  He has an excellent temperament for pitching in relief and an aggressive approach toward attacking opposing hitters.

He features a 3-pitch repertoire consisting of a fastball, slider and a changeup.  The fastball sits 92-to-94mph, touching 96mph at times, with arm-side sinking action into righties.  He has more present control than command, as he rarely walks hitters and pounds the bottom of the zone but struggles hitting his target.  The slider sits in the mid-80s with good quality spin, but the pitch shows more traditional curveball shape than sharp horizontal movement.  It is very inconsistent at present but has fringe-average to average potential.  Finally Condra-Bogan throws a 78-to-82mph changeup with good speed differential than his heater, but he dramatically slows his body and arm down while throwing it, easily tipping off opposing batters.

Condra-Bogan is an intriguing relief prospect due to his double-plus velocity, impressive control of the strike zone and occasionally impressive slider.  His lack of a plus off-speed pitch and mediocre command limits his overall ceiling.  That said Condra-Bogan has the ideal temperament and imposing mound presence to pitch in relief.  Condra-Bogan has a ceiling as a 7th inning reliever in the majors, with his most likely role being Triple-A reliever who receives a few cameos in the big leagues.

THE NatsGM Show Special – Scouting The Potomac Nationals with John Eshleman

This is a special episode of THE NatsGM Show and I am joined by Senior Evaluator from 2080 Baseball, John Eshleman, to break down the prospects on the Potomac Nationals!

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