Introducing Washington Nationals James Bourque

Washington selected James Bourque in the 14th round of the 2014 MLB Draft following a productive career at the University of Michigan.  The 25-year-old Bourque spent his first few professional years almost exclusively as a starter, before transitioning to the bullpen in 2018.  Last season Bourque was dominant across both High-A and Double-A, posting a 1.70 ERA in 53 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts against only 30 hits and 26 walks.  Of note, he was particularly effective against left-handed hitters, holding them to a .132 average at High-A and .122 average in Double-A.  Bourque was eligible for the Rule 5 draft next month, but Washington chose to place him on the 40-man roster rather than leave him exposed.

Listed at 6’4” 190lbs, Bourque has long limbs and a wiry, lean body.  He throws from a high three-quarters arm slot and has a unique delivery with plenty of moving parts.  His delivery, combined with his lanky frame, creates excellent deception to opposing hitters.  Of course, the extraneous movement makes it difficult for him to repeat his mechanics, which hinders both his command and control of the strike zone.
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Bourque features a three-pitch arsenal consisting of a fastball, changeup and slider.  The fastball sits low-to-mid 90s, touching 96mph at its best, with natural armside movement into righties.  The move to the bullpen has helped spike his velocity, which sat more consistently 90-91mph in previous seasons.  Bourque’s primary off-speed pitch is a firm 85-88mph changeup with traditional split-finger type movement.  The pitch shows late, sudden sink that fools opposing batters, particularly lefties.  Finally he flashes a low-80s slider with limited action away from righties.  The pitch more resembles a cutter in shape but is thrown at slider velocity, rendering the pitch below-average.

Bourque is a late-emerging prospect due to his mid-90s velocity, impressive changeup and ability to neutralize left-handed hitters.  These attributes, plus his overwhelming success in 2018, forced Washington to protect him from December’s Rule 5 draft.  In addition, he has a bulldog mentality perfectly suited for a reliever.  His below-average command and lack of a plus breaking pitch limits his ceiling to a potential major league middle relief role. Bourque should begin 2019 either at Double-A or Triple-A and could see his major league debut next season.  Developing a 14th round pick into a potential productive major league piece is a major win for the organization and a clear success story for Washington’s scouting and development staff.

Sleeper Alert – Washington Nationals LHP Taylor Guilbeau

Washington drafted Taylor Guilbeau in the 10th round of the 2015 MLB Draft after a solid career at the University of Alabama.  Guilbeau’s first two full professional years were split between the starting rotation and bullpen, before transitioning exclusively to relief in 2018.  The shift was a revelation, as Guilbeau posted a 2.52 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 35.2 innings pitched last season.  In particular Guilbeau overmatched left-handed hitters, holding them to a .184 average and 20 strikeouts.  This success, plus being Rule 5 eligible this winter, caused the organization to send him to the Arizona Fall League, where he continued pitching well with a 1.74 ERA in 10.1 innings.

Listed at 6’4” 180lbs, Guilbeau has long limbs and a lean, wiry frame.  The 25-year-old throws from a low 3/4s arm slot, which combined with his lanky frame, creates tremendous deception to opposing lefties.  He struggles to repeat his delivery, which does not show up in his walks allowed total but hinders his command of the strike zone.  He will flash fringe-average command on his best days, but it is below-average overall.

Guilbeau utilizes a three pitch repertoire of a fastball, slider and changeup, although he’s primarily a fastball – slider pitcher who throws the occasional cambio.  The fastball sits 92-95mph, touching 96mph on rare occasions, with some sink down at the knees and natural life above the letters.  The shift to the bullpen has done wonders for his velocity, which sat more 89-92mph in my viewings in previous years.  His best off-speed pitch is a hard upper-80s slider that is extremely difficult for lefties to square up.  It has plenty of tilt, which induces whiffs but makes it difficult to command in the zone.  Finally he throws a mid-80s changeup with good velocity separation from the fastball, but the pitch is firm and lacks much natural movement.
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The Nationals made a somewhat surprising decision this week not to add Guilbeau to the 40-man roster, thus leaving him exposed to the Rule 5 draft next month.  No question his age, short track record of success as a reliever and not pitching above A-ball were the reasons Washington did not protect him.  Yet, I fear there is a reasonable chance he is selected next month, as there was a buzz amongst scouts in the Arizona Fall League talking about Guilbeau’s increased velocity and success against left-handed hitters.  Frankly, I would have added him to 40-man roster.

Guilbeau is an intriguing left-handed relief prospect due to his impressive fastball velocity, hard breaking slider, and success neutralizing lefties.  His lack of a plus off-speed pitch, coupled with his below-average command, limits his major league ceiling to a lefty specialist who works in middle relief.  However, he has the right disposition to work in relief, along with enough velocity and deception in his delivery to get major leaguers out.  He should begin next season at Double-A and could see time in the majors as soon as 2019.

Introducing Washington Nationals RHP Kyle McGowin

Kyle McGowin        RHP        Washington Nationals

DOB: 11/27/1991   Height:  6’3”       Weight: 195       Bats: Right          Throws: Right

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McGowin throws from a low three-quarters arm-slot and utilizes a one-step motion into a crossfire delivery.  This allows him tremendous deception against righties, who struggle to pick up his release point.  McGowin features a three-pitch repertoire of a fastball, slider and changeup.  The fastball sits 89-to-92mph with good life up in the zone and heavy sink at the lower velocity bands.  He primarily sinks it against lefties, and throws the 4-seamer to righties.  He shows average command and control, pounding the lower part of the strike zone and limiting his walks allowed.   The slider sits 81-to-84mph with slurvy shape and reasonable spin.  He can locate it for strikes or bury it to tempt batters to expand the zone.  The changeup is 80-to-84mph with mild fading action away from lefties.  It is inconsistent and can get firm, but it is good enough to keep lefties off the fastball.

After a successful 2018 season in the minors, Washington promoted McGowin late in the season.  McGowin should compete for a spot on Washington’s 2019 pitching staff due to his collection of three fringe-average pitches, solid control and ability to pitch multiple innings.  The lack of premium velocity or a monster breaking pitch limits his overall major league potential. He has a ceiling as a major league long-reliever, with his likely outcome being Triple-A depth who pitches some major league innings the next couple years.

Prospect Spotlight – Telmito Agustin

Telmito Agustin        OF          Potomac Nationals (High-A)

DOB: 10/6/1996        Height: 5’10”      Weight: 160        Bats: Left             Throws: Left

Signed as an international free agent in October 2013 for $50,000, Agustin was born in Panama {Edit -> United States Virgin Islands} before moving to the Dominican Republic during his youth.  Listed at 5’10” 160lbs, Agustin has a stout frame and has added muscle in recent years, looking much closer to 180-190lbs.  The additional weight has made him an average runner, whereas he was a plus earlier in his career. The almost 22-year-old Agustin has struggled with injuries as a professional and does not always hustle in the field.

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The left-handed hitting Agustin has a relatively short swing with above-average bat speed.  He has a good feel for the barrel and shows average raw pull power in batting practice.  Agustin has worked to add more loft to his swing to help tap into his power in game action.  He will use the opposite field, but shows negligible power to left field.  He still struggles with pitch recognition and whiffs, as quality breaking stuff challenges him, as do high-and-away fastballs.  Advanced pitchers will exploit these weaknesses, but Agustin projects to a fringe-average hit tool with “35” game power.

Agustin is a promising prospect due to his quality hit tool, emerging power and reasonable athleticism.  Agustin’s lack of a plus tool, coupled with his left field only defensive profile, keeps his overall prospect ceiling in check.  Agustin will need to watch his conditioning and avoid the disabled list in order to maximize his potential.  Agustin has a ceiling as the strong-side player in a left field platoon, with his likely role being a Triple-A outfielder.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NudfvfqfMc&feature=youtu.be