Scouting Future Baltimore Orioles Today – The Frederick Keys

Rather than spending Labor Day weekend on the beach or sitting near a barbeque grill, I scouted the Potomac Nationals 4-game series at their local rival, the Frederick Keys. Mother Nature gave us her worst in terms of heat, humidity, and torrential rain, and although many of the players were showing obvious fatigue after a long summer, several future major league prospects emerged through the many rain delays.  These three Baltimore Orioles’ players were particularly intriguing this weekend.

Steven Brault Left-Handed Pitcher

Orioles Prospect LHP Steven Brault

Orioles Prospect LHP Steven Brault

After watching an impressive performance last week from this under-the-radar prospect, I was eager to see his follow-up performance in his final start of 2014 for the Keys. Baltimore’s 14th round pick in 2013 from a small D2 school, Brault is a raw, athletic lefty with significant projection remaining in his listed 6-1 175lbs frame. Brault throws across his body during his delivery, which provides some deception to opposing batters but causes him to struggle to maintain his release point. He impressively pounds the strike zone, but this mechanical issue could hinder his velocity potential. Brault reminds me of a young Ross Detwiler, both physically and in his delivery to the plate.

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In this limited viewing, Brault only pitched 3.1 innings due to a lengthy mid-game rain delay and looked weary in this outing. Brault featured a repertoire consisting of 4-pitches, an 86-89mph fastball with some natural sinking movement, an 80-82mph slider, an 83-84mph changeup with some arm-side wiggle, and the occasional high-70s curveball. His arsenal was less imposing than last week, when Brault was 87-91mph with late life on his fastball, a hard-breaking 82-84mph slider, a low-80s changeup, and a rare mid-70s overhand curveball. On a positive note, Brault particularly used his fastball to get ahead in the count and induced meek contact from the opposing batters.

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This 22-year-old is still rather raw for a collegiate pitcher and his current below-average off-speed offerings cause him to struggle to put away hitters. But his youth, athleticism, and projection remaining in his lean body give me some hope that he can polish his delivery and improve his overall arsenal. Brault is an intriguing, talented young arm and is a quality sleeper prospect in the Orioles’ system.

Jason Esposito Third Base

Jason Esposito

Jason Esposito


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One of the few players who does not want to see the season end, Esposito has come alive offensively in recent weeks and continued the hot streak this weekend, hitting a massive home run Sunday night and punishing the baseball throughout the series. Long a personal favorite of mine since watching him in the Cape Cod League, Esposito has struggled since being drafted in the 2nd Round in 2011. His defense has always outpaced his offense, where he struggles with large strikeout totals and a near allergy to drawing walks. His massive whiff totals and poor on-base percentages have caused him to spend two full years at High-A and has led scouts to wonder if he will hit enough to reach the majors. These weaknesses have caused him to fail to turn his average or better strength and bat speed into power production at High-A the past two years.

Frederick Keys 3B Jason Esposito

Frederick Keys 3B Jason Esposito

Esposito is a whiz defensively, as he has a strong arm, sure hands, and sound footwork at third base. In addition, Esposito is a surprisingly good athlete with decent speed for a big 6-2 200lbs player. The Orioles are showing faith in the now 24-year-old by sending him to the Arizona Fall League, and a solid performance there should vault him back onto the prospect radar. The physical tools are there for him to develop into a possible league-average third baseman, but Esposito will need to build on his late-season rally in 2015 if he wishes to reach the show.

Trey Mancini First Base

Trey Mancini

Trey Mancini

A truly massive human being and a physical presence, Mancini was selected by the Orioles in the 8th round in 2013 after a stellar collegiate career at Notre Dame. Offensively Mancini shows fringe-average to average bat speed, which combined with his size, gives him some true right-handed pull power, although this is shown more often in batting practice than game action. Mancini has a longish swing and long arm, which causes a healthy amount of strikeouts; conversely he does have a solid batting eye and draws a reasonable amount of walks.

In the field Mancini is surprisingly agile and athletic defensively, flashing soft, sure hands on throws in the dirt. He made several notable plays at first base during this weekend. Furthermore, although he possesses below-average speed, he runs better underway and should not be a base-clogger in the future.

Trey Mancini

Trey Mancini

2015 will provide Mancini with a difficult challenge, as the 22-year-old will likely be pushed to Double-A Bowie early in the season. As a polished collegiate hitter selected on Day 2 of the draft, Mancini shares some similarities to fellow Orioles prospect Christian Walker. However, if he cannot begin to manage his strikeouts or hit for more power, Mancini will struggle to climb the organizational ladder. A personal favorite of mine, Mancini is a name to remember in a system lacking many hitting prospects.

Evaluating Tomorrow’s Washington Nationals – The Potomac Nationals

This weekend while most wise people in the Washington area were seeking shade and shelter from the uncomfortable heat, humidity and torrential downpours, I spent the time in Frederick watching the Keys host the Potomac Nationals. Labor Day marks the end of the minor league season, so nothing Mother Nature could throw at the area could keep me from Harry Grove Stadium.

Frederick entered this 4-game series against their local rival still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but a P-Nats doubleheader sweep on Sunday sunk their chances. Nonetheless, these weary young players muddled through the lousy weather and numerous rain delays to show future big league potential. Today I highlight three Potomac Nationals players that were particularly noteworthy this series.

Pedro Severino Catcher

Pedro Severino Waiting Out a Rain Delay 8/31/14

Pedro Severino Waiting Out a Rain Delay 8/31/14

Signed as an international free agent in 2010, the 21-year-old Severino is one of the better defensive catchers currently in the minor leagues. Physically Severino resembles a middle infielder, with an athletic, agile frame with projection remaining in his lower half as he matures. Armed with a strong arm, above-average blocking skills, and soft hands, Severino projects to be an above-average or better defensive catcher at the big league level. He is easily one of my favorite players to watch on defense in the minors.

Pedro Severino

Pedro Severino

In this viewing Severino showed progress offensively from earlier this season, hitting a monster home run Monday and showing an improved effort to lay off breaking pitches in the dirt. For the season Severino did not post overwhelming offensive numbers, although he has a reasonable swing with no obvious apparent flaws, and shows decent power in batting practice. Still young for this level of competition and with a strong chance to gain mass in the future, Severino could blossom offensively next season. Severino projects as a dynamic defensive backup catcher, with the potential to be a starting caliber player if his offense shows refinement with further experience.

Stephen Perez Shortstop

The Stephen Perez

The Stephen Perez


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The difference between 2013 Stephen Perez and the 2014 version is as different as the winner on NBC’s The Biggest Loser, as he has improved more in one season than any player in recent memory. Last winter Perez gained 10-20 pounds of muscle mass while maintaining his above-average speed and overall athleticism. This has transformed his prospect profile from a dynamic defensive middle infielder lacking the bat to likely reach the majors to a possible future big league player.

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The 23-year-old Perez possesses a strong, accurate arm and sure hands, which when combined with his physical skills makes him an above-average defensive shortstop. A switch-hitter Perez shows quality bat speed, especially from the left-side, and his increased muscularity has allowed him to pepper the gaps with doubles this season. While Perez’s reputation will always be as an exciting defensive middle infielder, this improved physicality could allow him to develop into below-average starter or valuable utility infielder at the major league level.

Ross Ohlendorf Right-Handed Pitcher

Ross Ohlendorf

Ross Ohlendorf

Sunday evening Ohlendorf was making a rehabilitation start for the Nationals, throwing 3 scoreless innings and allowing only 2 hits and 1 walk. Featuring his patented full overhead windup, Ohlendorf featured a lively 90-94mph fastball, an 82-84mph slider with tilt and late-breaking action, along with a rare, firm 83-85mph changeup. I was impressed with how he aggressively attacked the strike zone and his fierce demeanor on the mound, as he overwhelmed these hitters with his repertoire.

Ross Ohlendorf 8/31/14

Ross Ohlendorf 8/31/14

Ohlendorf is currently on the 60-day disabled list for the Nationals, but is on the 40-man roster so the team could choose to recall him to Washington to provide depth for the pennant chase this month. However, with several arms promoted to Washington yesterday and his current place on depth chart, the team may choose to shut him down for 2014. Either way I was intrigued by this brief outing from Ohlendorf and would strongly recommend a team sign him to a minor league contract this winter.

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Scouting the Frederick Keys

Labor Day weekend arrives tomorrow, which means barbeques, adult beverages, college football, and the end of the minor league baseball season. Therefore like a rotund man at a Mexican buffet, I am trying to consume as many local minor league contests as possible before Monday unfortunately arrives.

Wednesday night was a beautiful, picturesque summer evening and I found myself watching a doubleheader between the visiting Salem Red Sox and host Frederick Keys. Due to several midseason promotions and skill improvements during the year, the Frederick roster has some prospects with major league potential. These are a few players that particularly caught my attention during these games.

Steven Brault LHP Frederick

photo 1(40)An athletic and wiry left-handed pitcher, Brault was Baltimore’s 14th round pick last summer out of small Division 2 school. This 22-year-old is rather raw for a collegiate pitcher, but he has significant projection remaining in his lean body, and appears taller than his listed 6-1 175lbs. Brault throws across his body during his delivery, which provides some deception to the batters but causes him to struggle to keep his release point. He impressively pounds the strike zone, but this mechanical issue could hinder his velocity potential. Brault reminds me of a young Ross Detwiler, both physically and with his pitching motion.

LHP Steven Brault

LHP Steven Brault

Brault features a quality 4-pitch arsenal, consisting of an 87-91mph fastball with some sinking action, a late-breaking 82-84mph slider, an intriguing but inconsistent low-80s changeup with some natural arm-side fading movement, and a rare mid-70s overhand curveball. In this viewing Brault used his fastball well to get ahead of opposing batters, but his current below-average off-speed offerings cause him to struggle to put away hitters.  His youth and athleticism give me some hope that he can polish his delivery and improve his arsenal. Brault is an intriguing, talented young arm and is a quality sleeper prospect in the Orioles’ system.

Nerves are being squeezed in between two or more deformed bones and viagra buying twisted muscles. On the other hand, people who use http://davidfraymusic.com/buy-2349 side effects of tadalafil. This action mechanism continue reading to find out more cheap online levitra helps in allowing blood to flow well in penile organ. For effective result, feel free to levitra prices http://davidfraymusic.com/events/piano-recital-hohenems-austria/ follow a healthy diet with a good amount of fresh fruits and vegetables. Jason Esposito 3B Frederick

A long-time personal favorite since watching him a few summers ago for Orleans in the Cape Cod League, Esposito has struggled since being drafted in the 2nd round in 2011. Defensively Esposito projects as an above-average or better third baseman, with a very strong arm, soft hands, and quality footwork for the position. Additionally, Esposito has fringy speed and good athleticism for a big 6-2 200lbs player. His defense has always outpaced his offense, where he struggles with large strikeout totals and a near allergy to drawing walks. These weaknesses have caused him to fail to turn his average or better strength and bat speed into power production at High-A the past two years. Now 24-years-old Esposito will need an impressive showing in the Arizona Fall League and a breakout season in 2015 if he wishes to reach the majors. The talent and physical tools are there for a major league third baseman, if the “light bulb” should turn on for Esposito.

Adrian Marin Shortstop Frederick

Adrian Marin

Adrian Marin

Ranked as my #12 Orioles prospect earlier this month, Marin has shown obvious improvement over the course of the 2014 season. Marin possesses solid-average speed, especially once he is underway, soft hands, and Wednesday evening he flashed a stronger throwing arm that I can ever recollect, making a strong throw from deep shortstop to throw out a speedy runner. His reasonable athleticism and average arm make him profile better at second base in the future, but I believe he could play shortstop as a utility player in a backup role.

The 20-year-old still struggles offensively with off-speed pitches away, and his non-overly massive physique does not have him project to hit for much power in the future. However, he has made progress this season making harder contact and flashes gap power, portending a possible offensive breakout in 2015. While his profile is not sexy, his excellent baseball IQ should allow Marin to outplay his fringy tools and carve out a major league career.

THE Midseason Baltimore Orioles Top-12 Prospect Rankings

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Certainly I am aware that the name of this site is NatsGM.com, but due to my appreciation for the Orioles and my proximity to their minor league affiliates, I watch a tremendous amount of Baltimore minor league baseball each summer.

The Orioles’ system will be ranked in the bottom third in baseball this upcoming winter, as the graduations of Kevin Gausman and Jonathan Schoop, the trade of Eduardo Rodriguez, and the lack of a 1st and 2nd round pick this summer has depleted the overall depth in the organization. However, Baltimore would fare significantly better on an Under 25-years-old list, which would include Gausman, Schoop, and franchise cornerstone Manny Machado.

My criterion for this list prioritizes, in order, the prospect’s possible ceiling, their likelihood to fulfill their potential, their positional value, and finally, how far they are from reaching the major leagues. In order to be on this list, the arbitrary cutoffs I used were 50+ major league innings for pitchers and more than 125 big league at-bats. With this in mind, here are my current Top-12 Baltimore Orioles’ Prospects.

Others Receiving Consideration:

Dariel Alvarez, Parker Bridwell, Patrick Connaughton, Brian Gonzalez, Jonah Heim, Branden Kline, Trey Mancini, Michael Ohlman, Ofelky Peralta, Stephen Tarpley, Henry Urrutia, Tyler Wilson, Jimmy Yacabonis,

#12 Adrian Marin SS

Adrian Marin

Adrian Marin

Like the coffee at McDonald’s, I like Adrian Marin far more than I should. For too long I stayed hung up on what Marin likely is not – a future MLB shortstop or speedy prototypical leadoff hitter. Conversely, I have started to focus on what the 20-year-old Marin is, a young middle infielder with average tools and strong baseball acumen that allows him to play above his skills.

Marin will never hit for power, and is likely a second baseman or utility player in the majors, but his bat-to-ball skills, defensive talent, and Baseball IQ should allow him to carve out a major league career. The profile is not particularly spicy, but Marin is a future big leaguer.

#11 Drew Dosch 3B

Drafted in the 7th round last summer by the Orioles, Dosch has a quality left-handed swing with apparent bat speed and quality plate discipline. With fringe-average speed and athleticism, along with an average arm, scouts question if he is a long-term third baseman, or if a shift to first base or the outfield is in his future. Regardless, Dosch can flat hit and that singular tool should allow him to reach the big leagues in the future.

#10 Jon Keller RHP

Orioles Prospect Jon Keller

Orioles Prospect Jon Keller

The Orioles 22nd round pick last summer, Keller possesses a prototypical pitcher’s frame, standing every bit of his listed 6-5 215lbs. Keller features a 3-pitch repertoire consisting of a 93-96mph fastball with late life, a promising, hard 85mph slider, and a firm mid-80s changeup. The 22-year-old needs to refine and polish his delivery, as there is some excess movement in his motion, which causes him to struggle to maintain his release point. Like most pitchers in A-ball, Keller also needs to improve his off-speed offerings, but both his changeup and slider showed promise. Keller is still raw, but has major league potential, and the Orioles got a steal with him last summer.

#9 Zach Davies RHP

A smallish but athletic right-handed pitcher, Davies continues to post impressive minor league numbers and out-pitching his 26th round selection in the 2011 draft. His repertoire consists of a 4-pitch mix with a 88-90mph fastball, an above-average changeup, and a fringy curveball and slider.

His detractors consistently questioned how he would perform when he reached Double-A, but Davies has continued to post solid numbers with a 3.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 83 strikeouts in 89.2 innings this season. The profile is not Val Kilmer in Top Gun sexy, but Davies has a chance to become a back-end major league starter.

However, as the age viagra no prescription discover that progresses, men often experience poor erectile function. At the same time Anadrol has severe side effects levitra discounts which can cause severe health issues to avoid any danger later on. This time after taking cheap viagra prices, you can save a lot of cost by buying through an online store. cialis can be a very challenging alternative for many family members. Even cipla cialis canada if he had finished, only touching your nipple. #8 Josh Hart CF

The 37th selection in the 2013 Draft, Hart is an elite athlete with plus speed and a fringe-average arm, allowing him to profile as a future plus defensive centerfielder. Scouts have long questioned his potential as a hitter, and he has done little to quell those concerns at Low-A Salisbury this summer. In addition, the 19-year-old does not project to hit for much power in the future. But Hart is still young enough to develop and mature into a dynamic leadoff hitter in a few years.  I like Hart’s potential and think he has breakout potential at Frederick in 2015.

#7 Mike Wright RHP

After a breakthrough season in 2013 at Double-A Bowie, Wright has more than stubbed his toe this season at Triple-A, posting a 5.73 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 113 innings pitched. Possessing a massive, near ideal pitcher’s frame at 6-6 215lbs, Wright has a solid 4-pitch repertoire consisting of a low-90s fastball, a mid-80s cutter/hard slider, a changeup, and curveball. Results aside, I still believe in Wright and his pro potential, though his future may ultimately reside in the bullpen.

#6 Mike Yastrzemski OF

A personal favorite prospect of mine since I watched him play for Cotuit in the Cape Cod League, yes Mike is indeed the grandson of Hall of Famer Carl Yastrzemski. However, Mike is beginning to more than make a name for himself on the baseball field, as his fringe-average across the board tools “play up” due to his insatiable want and baseball IQ. His ceiling is a league-average outfielder with a more likely career as a 4th outfielder, but Yastrzemski is a prototypical overachiever who will get everything out of his talent. Do not bet against him carving out a lengthy major league career.

#5 Tim Berry LHP

T BerryAn extremely polished left-hander with a solid three pitch mix, Berry commands his 90-93mph fastball throughout the strike zone, along with an average mid-70s sharp curveball, and a fringy changeup. Berry has a quiet, compact pitching delivery, which allows him to pound the bottom of the strike zone, and limits his walks allowed. Berry profiles as a #5 starting pitcher or invaluable late-inning left-handed reliever, as soon as next season.

#4 Christian Walker 1B

One of the true legends in college baseball, Walker was one of the most distinguished collegiate hitters in recent memory while at South Carolina. Armed with a linear right-handed swing, Walker has solid contact skills but does not produce much loft, which limits his home run power. A reasonable athlete with some agility, Walker projects as an average or better defender at first base, but he is limited to the position. A pure first base profile typically demands premium power potential, so Walker will need to continue to hit to silence his critics.

#3 Chance Sisco Catcher

Currently one of my favorite prospects in the low minors, Sisco was the Orioles 2nd round pick in 2013 as a high school shortstop transitioning behind the dish. Sisco has a strong arm and above-average athleticism as a former middle infielder, but he is extremely raw with his footwork and scouts strongly question if he will remain a catcher in the future. Personally, I believe in his work ethic and athleticism, and still think he could develop into a fringe-average defender.

Offensively, Sisco has a short, quick swing with some raw power, though he tends to prefer to use the entire field and often slaps the ball rather than attempting to hit for power. That said Sisco has outstanding hand-eye coordination and can flat hit, which is the most important tool for an offensive player. Sisco will hit his way to the major leagues, but his future position may not necessarily be as a catcher.

#2 Hunter Harvey RHP

The son of former major league closer Bryan Harvey, Hunter was the Orioles 1st round choice, 22nd overall last summer. After some minor adjustments to his motion last summer, Harvey blossomed and now features a 91-95mph fastball with movement, a true hammer curveball with plus potential and the makings of an average changeup. Harvey was recently shut down due to inflammation in his arm, a wise move by the Orioles. Nevertheless Harvey should return to the mound next season and with additional polish and improved command as he matures as a pitcher, Harvey has top-of-the-rotation potential in a few years.

#1 Dylan Bundy RHP

The Orioles 1st Round pick in 2011, 4th overall and immediately rose to prominence throughout minor league baseball en route to becoming the near-consensus top pitching prospect in the minor leagues in 2012. Bundy lost most of last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in June and has not recovered as quickly as some might prefer.

Before surgery, Bundy possessed a 94-97mph fastball, a monster plus-plus cutter, an above-average curveball and above-average changeup, along with excellent command of the strike zone. Assuming he returns to full health after an offseason to rest and recover, Bundy still has the potential to be one of the best pitchers in baseball.