THE NatsGM Show #97 – Guest Dave DeFreitas

This week on Episode #97 of THE NatsGM Show, I am joined by former scout for the New York Yankees & Cleveland Indians and the current co-owner of 2080baseball.com, Dave DeFreitas!

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Thanks to Dave for joining us this week.  Please Rate, Review and Subscribe to the show on iTunes (it REALLY helps us) and thanks for listening!

Scouting Dane Dunning

Dane Dunning     RHP        Kannapolis Intimidators (Low-A Chicago White Sox)

Fastball (55/60) / Slider (45/50) / Curveball (30/30) / Changeup (50/55)

7-Word Scouting Report: Above-Average Fastball, Developing Secondary Offerings, #4/#5 Profile  

1st round pick, 29th overall in 2016 by Washington from the University of Florida; traded as part of the Adam Eaton swap.  Listed as 6-4 200lbs, lean body with projection remaining.  22.5 y/o with 3/4s arm slot, repeats mechanics reasonably well but will alter leg-kick between waist-high and letter-high.  Deception in his delivery, slightly closed to righties and hides ball well.  Polished pitcher for Low-A, holds runners, fields his position and sets up hitters – will change eye level, works both sides of the plate, keeps the ball down in the zone.
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4-pitch repertoire – Fastball sits 91-93mph, T94 2x with sink, pounds the lower part of the strike zone but can elevate to change eye level.  Pitch can show cut at lower velocities.  Slider (80-83mph) was inconsistent in this viewing, early the pitch was round and rather slurvy; pitch improved during appearance with good tilt and better shape.  Curveball (74-76mph) was thrown twice, loopy pitch used as a change of pace offering.  Changeup (82-84mph) shows good arm speed and arm-side fade, can locate it for strikes, additional repetitions will improve consistency.

Polished collegiate pitcher far too advanced for Low-A.  Used in relief and mid-week starts in college, so arm has less wear than average.  Fastball is a future plus and his changeup, slider and command could be average or better with development.  Biggest risk is the distance to the major leagues.  Dunning profiles as a back-end starting pitcher, with the ceiling of a mid-rotation starter if the secondary pitches both get to above-average.  High-floor, medium risk prospect.  Should reach High-A before Memorial Day & major league ETA is 2019.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YE4I9d4Grc

Scouting Erick Fedde

Erick Fedde RHP Harrisburg Senators Double-A (Evaluated 4/13/17)

Fastball (60/60+) / Slider (50/55) / Curveball (35/40) / Changeup (40/40+)

7-Word Scouting Report: Plus Fastball Slider, Mediocre Changeup Limits Ceiling

1st round pick, 18th overall, in 2014; listed at 6-4 180lbs, wiry body and skinny legs.  24 y/o with high 3/4s arm slot, repeats mechanics well both from stretch and windup.  High leg-kick, medium effort with some deception in delivery.  Polished pitcher, holds runners and fields his position well.  Advanced pitching makeup for Double-A, sets up hitters in and out, up and down, changes eye level and keeps off-balance.
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4-Pitch Repertoire – Fastball sits 92-95mph with life, can locate it to all four quadrants and keeps the ball down, legit sink at lower velocities; Slider was 81-85mph, some flashed severe break away from righties and others were slurvy, inconsistent offering needs refinement.  Curveball is new to the arsenal, sits 72-75mph – loopy shape but fools hitters, uses as “change of pace” to steal strikes, locates in the zone.  Changeup (84-85mph) repeats arm speed, occasional arm-side fade, struggles to locate for strikes, inconsistent from pitch-to-pitch, does not show confidence in the pitch.

Past Tommy John surgery elevates injury risk in profile.  Fastball and slider combination should allow him success against major league hitters, below-average tertiary pitches limits ceiling.  Profiles as a #5 starter or impact 2-pitch reliever, with the ceiling as a #4 if the curveball or changeup gets to average.  Nearly major league ready, ETA August 2017.

https://youtu.be/2AOnlqWTLMc

THE 2017 Washington Nationals Sleepers

Last week while analyzing the Washington Nationals’ farm system, it particularly caught my attention the depth the organization has outside their top-10 prospects.  This is quite a feat, considering they traded away four top prospects this winter and have qualified for smaller draft bonus pools the past few years due to their success at the big league level.  Washington’s front office should be commended for their collection of prospects outside the top-15, especially up-the-middle hitters.

While the term “sleeper” is rather nebulous, for the purposes of this article it will describe someone ranked outside my top-30 prospects that deserve more hype.  These are my three current favorite sleepers in Washington’s farm system.

Daniel Johnson OF

Johnson was Washington’s 5th round pick last summer, agreeing to an above-slot $325,000 bonus after hitting .382 with 12 home runs and 29 stolen bases for New Mexico State.  Johnson owns an intriguing collection of tools, possessing plus-plus speed and a strong throwing arm, allowing him to project well in center field.

Despite his impressive offensive output in college, his offensive skills lag significantly behind his defensive prowess.  Johnson is raw offensively and has not played against high-level competition, leading scouts to question if he will hit professional pitching.  He has shown some barrel skills and raw pull power from his left-handed swing, but the 21-year-old will need significant time in the minor leagues in order to refine his swing mechanics.  He should begin 2017 at Low-A Hagerstown and his package of tools could have scouts buzzing later this year.

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Chosen in the 11th round in 2015 from the University of Tennessee, Lee was a solid two-way player for the Volunteers before exclusively dedicating himself to pitching as a professional.  Lee is a large man, standing 6-5 225lbs, along with owning an exciting 3-pitch arsenal featuring a low-90s fastball, an above-average curveball with swing-and-miss potential and a reasonable changeup.  There is effort in his delivery, but he does repeat his mechanics fairly well and has command of the strike zone.

Unfortunately the biggest present knock on Lee is his health, as he underwent Tommy John surgery in the past and missed the second half of 2016 with an injury.  The 23-year-old only threw 84.2 innings in college and another 89.2 professional innings the past two seasons, leading to obvious durability questions going forward.  If he can successfully return to the mound, he could generate buzz as a back-end workhorse type starting pitcher.

Jose Sanchez SS

Signed last summer by the Nationals for a $950,000, Sanchez has been overshadowed by fellow international acquisitions Yasel Antuna and Luis Garcia.  But as his signing bonus indicates, Sanchez is a fascinating middle infield prospect in his own right, possessing an above-average arm, average to solid-average speed and outstanding instincts.  Scouts consistently mention his baseball instincts and IQ, as the 16-year-old shows an uncanny ability to maximize his skills on the field.

Offensively his underwhelming size (6-0 165lbs.) has him lacking the present strength to hit for power, but he has loose wrists and shows a compact swing with impressive barrel skills.  He has a good eye and approach at the plate, which helps him pepper line drives across the outfield.  Scouts expect him to hit for average in the future, but the natural question of how much strength he develops holds the key to his power output and thus, overall offensive profile.  He should spend 2017 in the Dominican Summer League and could gain prospect helium if he hits well this season.