Author Archives: Ryan Sullivan

Scouting Tyler Watson

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Tyler Watson      LHP        Hagerstown Suns

Fastball (45/55)                 Curveball (40/45)              Changeup (50/55)

7-Word Scouting Report:       Potential Above-Average Fastball Changeup, Curveball Determines Ceiling

Over-slot 34th round pick in 2015, signed for $400,000 from an Arizona high school.  Listed as 6-5 200lbs, well-built frame with projection remaining in lower half.  Nearly 20 y/o with traditional 3/4s arm slot; repeats mechanics well both from windup and stretch, quiet motion into a waist-high leg lift, reasonable extension towards home.  Stays closed in delivery, hides the ball well both to lefties and righties.  Surprisingly polished for a teenager in Low-A, pounds the strike zone and works the sides of the plate; rarely misses in the hitter’s power zone, particularly impressive working the inner third to righties.

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3-pitch repertoire – Fastball sits 88-90mph, T91 4x with natural cutting action and some sink, pounds the lower third of the strike zone; works both sides of the plate, particularly inside to righties.  Curveball (72-75mph) was inconsistent throughout, some lacked shape and were “spinners” while others showed some late bite into the strike zone – can locate for strikes, especially arm side.  Changeup (82-84mph) is his best present pitch, showing excellent arm speed and quality sink, will throw for strikes; impressive for Low-A.

Watson is a polished, high school lefty who shows impressive command of the strike zone and an advanced approach to attacking hitters.  Both his fastball and changeup are quality pitches and project as above-average future offerings.  Curveball currently lags, but he can spin the pitch and locate it for strikes – could be an average future pitch but more likely fringe-average.

The biggest risks in his profile are distance from the majors, the development of the breaking ball and the assumption he will add a tick or two of velocity as he matures.  Watson profiles as a back-end starting pitcher, with a ceiling of a #4 if the curveball significantly improves with development; medium floor, medium risk prospect.  Should spend much of 2017 in Hagerstown, and could reach the majors in 2020.

https://youtu.be/tXd7zey13vM

Evaluating McKenzie Mills

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McKenzie Mills     LHP Hagerstown Suns     (Evaluated 4/26/17)

Fastball (45/50+)   Slider (30/30)   Changeup (35/45)   Curveball (30/40)

Prototypical pitchers’ frame standing 6-4 205lbs, Mills is an obvious athlete with potential to add 10-20lbs in the future.  Utilizes a tradition 3/4s arm slot, near 90 degree angle at the elbow.  Pitches both from the windup and stretch – windup uses a simple one-step and rock delivery into a medium to high leg lift.  Has a tendency at leg lift to lean toward second base, which hinders his balance and ability to repeat his mechanics.  Command also wavers due to this mechanical flaw – looks potentially correctable with repetition.

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4-pitch arsenal – Fastball (89-92mph, T94 1x) shows cutting action in on right-handers and occasional late life, struggles to command especially arm-side – Inconsistent but intriguing left-handed heater.  Slider (75-77mph) thrown a few times, slurvy and looked like a faster curveball.  Curveball (69-73mph) showed poor shape, rather loopy and lacks tight spin, slows arm speed; will throw for strikes.  Changeup (75-77mph) has promise, replicates arm speed relatively well, will show sink and occasional cutting action.  Easily his best secondary pitch but needs development to improve consistency.

Overslot 18th round pick in 2015 ($150,000), this 21.5 y/o has a tremendous physique and a left-handed arm that can reach the mid-90s.  However, his inability to repeat his mechanics and struggles to spin a breaking ball limits his profile and eventual ceiling.  Interesting arm but unless off-speed pitches take a significant step forward, likely to stagnate in the upper minors.

https://youtu.be/VZl3bcn1RYg

THE NatsGM Show #97 – Guest Dave DeFreitas

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Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS

This week on Episode #97 of THE NatsGM Show, I am joined by former scout for the New York Yankees & Cleveland Indians and the current co-owner of 2080baseball.com, Dave DeFreitas!

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Thanks to Dave for joining us this week.  Please Rate, Review and Subscribe to the show on iTunes (it REALLY helps us) and thanks for listening!

Scouting Dane Dunning

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Dane Dunning     RHP        Kannapolis Intimidators (Low-A Chicago White Sox)

Fastball (55/60) / Slider (45/50) / Curveball (30/30) / Changeup (50/55)

7-Word Scouting Report: Above-Average Fastball, Developing Secondary Offerings, #4/#5 Profile  

1st round pick, 29th overall in 2016 by Washington from the University of Florida; traded as part of the Adam Eaton swap.  Listed as 6-4 200lbs, lean body with projection remaining.  22.5 y/o with 3/4s arm slot, repeats mechanics reasonably well but will alter leg-kick between waist-high and letter-high.  Deception in his delivery, slightly closed to righties and hides ball well.  Polished pitcher for Low-A, holds runners, fields his position and sets up hitters – will change eye level, works both sides of the plate, keeps the ball down in the zone.
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4-pitch repertoire – Fastball sits 91-93mph, T94 2x with sink, pounds the lower part of the strike zone but can elevate to change eye level.  Pitch can show cut at lower velocities.  Slider (80-83mph) was inconsistent in this viewing, early the pitch was round and rather slurvy; pitch improved during appearance with good tilt and better shape.  Curveball (74-76mph) was thrown twice, loopy pitch used as a change of pace offering.  Changeup (82-84mph) shows good arm speed and arm-side fade, can locate it for strikes, additional repetitions will improve consistency.

Polished collegiate pitcher far too advanced for Low-A.  Used in relief and mid-week starts in college, so arm has less wear than average.  Fastball is a future plus and his changeup, slider and command could be average or better with development.  Biggest risk is the distance to the major leagues.  Dunning profiles as a back-end starting pitcher, with the ceiling of a mid-rotation starter if the secondary pitches both get to above-average.  High-floor, medium risk prospect.  Should reach High-A before Memorial Day & major league ETA is 2019.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YE4I9d4Grc