Scouting The 2017 MLB Draft – Kevin Smith SS University of Maryland

DOB: 7/4/96       Height:  6-0         Weight: 188       Bats: Right          Throws: Right

7-Word Scouting Report:  Pure Shortstop; Excellent Athlete; Questionable Hit Tool

Future Grades:  Hit (35) / Power (40+) / Run (60+) / Defense (55) / Arm (55)

Three year collegiate starter at the University of Maryland; well-known high school prospect from New Jersey, lacked the physicality to be signed from high school.  Almost 21y/o listed at 6-0 188lbs, well-built body with obvious muscle, lacks much future projection – quality athlete with excellent speed, have routinely timed him between 4.14-4.19 seconds home to first from the right side.  Smith is a gritty competitor and grinder, obvious leader on the team.

Defensively Smith is the rare college shortstop who should stay there professionally, as his athleticism, arm and hands make him profile well at the position.  Smith will show above-average to plus arm strength, solid accuracy and soft hands at shortstop.  He turns the double play well and has natural fluidity at the position.  He does not possess a cannon-like arm or elite athleticism like top major league defenders, but he should develop into a better than average shortstop.

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Right-handed hitter; shows lithe, loose wrists and apparent bat speed, whips the barrel through the zone.  Shows a willingness to work a count, but obviously hunts fastballs.  Struggles with swing-and-miss (45 strikeouts in 182 at-bats this season) and shows a particular weakness recognizing spin and/or laying off breaking pitches low-and-away.  Has obvious loft in his swing and legitimate raw power both to the pull side and right-center field – could hit 10-15 home runs in the future and plus speed allows him to collect extra base hits.  Strangely has hit better with wood in summer competition than with metal during college games.  Profiles as a 35 Hit / 40 Power batter, with the potential for more if he can improve his contact rates in the future.

Smith represents an interesting prospect in a rather uneven year for college hitters – Typically shortstops and catchers are “over-drafted”, as the lack of players capable of staying there defensively, combined with the need of each organization, represents a unique supply and demand.  Smith struggled with an injury earlier this spring and has not performed as well offensively the past two seasons as many would expect.  However, he was outstanding in the Cape last summer, has a track record hitting with wood and should stay at shortstop professionally.

Smith will need to cut down on the whiffs and make more contact, but the power is quite intriguing from a middle infielder.  The questions surrounding his hit tool will keep him out of Round 1, but the team that saw him well last summer and is willing to sacrifice some batting average could select him in Round 2 or Round 3.

Projection -> 2nd or 3rd Round

https://youtu.be/jHp7QJWpsAg

THE NatsGM Show #99 – Guest Grant Paulsen

On a special Memorial Day episode, THE NatsGM Show #99 is now available and we are proud to welcome back from the “Grant and Danny Show” on 106.7 The Fan DC, Grant Paulsen!

This week’s conversation sees Grant giving his thoughts on the Washington Nationals, the problems with the bullpen, the depth of the starting rotation and looking ahead to the trade deadline.  In addition, Grant talks about the Washington Capitals, the upcoming expansion draft and the forthcoming offseason.
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Thank you to Grant for joining us again and to you for downloading!

Link to our previous interview ->  http://natsgm.com/2015/04/15/the-natsgm-show-episode-32-guest-grant-paulsen/

Evaluating Riley Pint RHP Asheville Tourists

Riley Pint RHP Asheville Tourists Low-A (Evaluated 4/9/17)

Fastball (50/65) / Curveball (45/55) / Slider (40/50) / Changeup (35/45)

“We ARE selling jeans here!” – looks the part, standing a wiry 6-4 195lbs with potential to add 15+ pounds.  4th overall pick to Colorado in the 2016 MLB Draft, signed for a $4.8 million bonus.  High 3/4s arm slot, nearly from his right ear; struggled repeating his mechanics, often under-rotating, sending his fastball high and arm-side.  Easy velocity, looks like he is playing catch – mechanics need refining to improve command/control but no obvious flaws.
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4-pitch repertoire-  Fastball sits 95-98mph touching 99mph 4x – lower velocities can show sinking and/or cutting movement, upper velocities are lively with arm-side wiggle.  Curveball sits 79-83mph with 11-5 movement and late breaking action; starts behind the batter and made several look foolish; true swing-and-miss “55” potential.  Showed a few 83-85mph sliders with some hard, late bite; inconsistent but potentially average.  Changeup 89-90mph shows excellent arm speed and tumbling arm-side movement; struggles to locate for strikes as it fades out of the zone but freezes batters – “45” potential

Pint will spend all year at 19 y/o and will experience growing pains in his 1st year of full season ball; injury risk due to the premium velocity for a high school arm; will need 3+ years of minor league development.  Fastball command will determine ultimate role.  #2 starter ceiling, with the likely outcome being a mid-rotation starter and floor as an impact reliever.

Scouting Weston Davis RHP Hagerstown Suns

Weston Davis RHP Hagerstown Suns (Evaluated 4/9/17)

Fastball (40/45)                 Slider (30/40)                     Changeup (30/35)

Intriguing, projectable athlete listed at 6-3 185lbs, with easy potential to add 15+ pounds as he matures.  Throws from a low 3/4s arm slot, between the letters and his arm pit.  Uses a simple one-step and rock windup, repeats his mechanics reasonably well.  Arm slot leaves him particularly susceptible to lefties.
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3-pitch repertoire – Fastball (89-92mph T93) shows some arm-side run and natural sinking movement, especially at lower velocities.  Struggles with his command AND control, particularly to the arm-side.  Slider (73-75mph) has 10-4 sweeping movement; inconsistent both in shape and throwing for strikes – can spin the pitch and shows some potential but extremely raw.  Changeup (80-83mph) replicates his arm speed well but shows precious little movement; more similar to a batting practice fastball.  Can locate for strikes but not enough sink or fade to disrupt hitter’s timing.

11th round pick in 2014 (signed for an over-slot $200,000 bonus), the 20.5 y/o has an ideal pitcher’s frame, a quality fastball and natural movement on his pitches.  His main weaknesses include his below-average command/control and nascent secondary offerings.  This is an interesting arm and a “name to remember” but unless his command and off-speed pitches improve, he is likely to stagnate in the upper minors.

{ Editor’s Note: Apologies for the lack of pictures and video of Mr. Davis – It was not from a lack of effort but rather a lack of photographic talent. }