Prospect Spotlight – Kyle Johnston

Kyle Johnston  RHP   Hagerstown Suns (Washington Low-A)  (Date Evaluated 6/7/18)

DOB: 07/17/96            Height:  6’0”       Weight: 190lbs            B/T: Right/Right

Fastball (50/55)        Slider (45/50)       Changeup (45/50)       Command (45/50)

Washington selected Johnston in the 6th round of the 2017 MLB Draft and signed him for a reported slot bonus of $226,100.  Johnston is listed at 6’0″ 190lbs, with thick legs and a well-built frame.  The almost 22-year-old throws from a high 3/4s arm slot (almost over-the-top) and has a medium-to-high effort delivery.  Johnston utilizes a simple one-step semi-windup into an above waist-high leg-lift and gets reasonable extension toward home.  Johnston’s motion has him turn slightly toward third base, allowing him deception but hindering his ability to repeat his mechanics.

Johnston is a good athlete and repeats his motion better than one might expect.  He has a mature approach and confidently attacks hitters on the mound.  His fastball command was mediocre in this outing, partially due to a small strike zone but mostly a result of his frenetic delivery.  He has fringe average command which could get to future average.
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Johnston utilizes a traditional 3-pitch arsenal, featuring a 91-94mph fastball, touching 95mph twice, with natural sinking action and occasional cutting movement.  His slider sits 81-84mph with good shape and he can spin the pitch.  It is inconsistent, but he threw a few that showed average potential.  Finally his changeup sits 83-86mph with good arm-side movement and he replicates his arm-speed well.  He shows confidence in the pitch and throws it to both lefties and righties.  The changeup needs more consistency but shows future average potential.

I leave this outing liking Johnston and his future potential, but unclear to his future role.  He has the build and arsenal to be a starting pitcher, but his inefficient delivery could lead to a long-term role in relief.  Johnston’s ceiling is that of a back-end #5 starter, with his most likely outcome being a middle reliever.  Johnston is one of the better pitching prospects in the organization and could be coveted in trade discussions this summer.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ndkxvptcDU

THE NatsGM Show #129 – Guest John Eshleman

THE NatsGM Show #129 has dropped and we proudly welcome Senior Evaluator from 2080 Baseball, John Eshleman!

On this episode John and I discuss scouting both hitters and pitchers.  First we talk hitting, specifically what we look for during batting practice, what “bat path” means to us and how long until we feel comfortable grading hitters.  Next we talk pitching, what we look for when evaluating pitchers and the value of video in breaking down deliveries.  Finally we discuss the similarity of deliveries of minor league pitchers, the lack of quality breaking pitches in the minor leagues and what role scouts will play in the future.
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Thanks to John for joining the show and to you for downloading!

Sitcoms Explain The Nationals Draft Class

This week, Major League Baseball held its annual First-Year Player Draft, with more than 1,200 players selected over three days. Much like new television shows, most of these players will not be hits and being chosen on draft day will likely be their career highlight. But a few, like new YouTube show “Cobra Kai,” blossom into breakout performers. With May sweeps barely in the rearview mirror, I use my favorite sitcoms to help introduce the 2018 Nationals’ draft class.

“Head of the Class”: Rumors tied him to Washington for several days, and on Monday, the Nationals selected Mason Denaburg with their first-round pick, 27th overall. Denaburg is an extremely athletic 6-foot-3, 200-lb. righty with a college commitment to the University of Florida. He missed time this spring with biceps tendinitis, causing him to slide to the late first round. An impressive two-sport athlete and all-state punter, Denaburg has a mid-90s fastball with heavy sink, a late-breaking curveball and a developing changeup.

Denaburg has some delivery concerns and is raw, even for a high school pitcher, but scouts believe his athletic ability and a full-time focus on pitching will allow him to correct these flaws. The risk is elevated with him, even considering he is a high school right-hander, the position with historically the worst rate of return in the draft. However, the payoff could be worthwhile, as he has No. 3 starter ability.

In round 2, the Nationals selected Tim Cate, a 6-foot, 170-lb. lefty from the University of Connecticut. An impressive college starter with a three-pitch repertoire, Cate possesses a low-90s fastball, a plus curveball and a decent changeup. His curveball is one of the best in this draft class and a true swing-and-miss offering. Unfortunately, Cate had Tommy John surgery in high school and missed several starts this spring with elbow concerns, causing him to fall to the second round. His detractors think he is a future reliever due to his size and injury history, but assuming he is healthy, Cate profiles as either a back-end starter or impact reliever.

Round 3 saw Washington choose Vanderbilt University right-hander Reid Schaller, a draft-eligible freshman who underwent Tommy John surgery and missed all of 2017. He returned healthy this season, working in relief and overwhelming hitters with a powerful fastball and slider combination. Schaller’s fastball consistently sits 94-96 mph, touching higher on occasion, along with an impressive slider. He has the frame at 6-foot-3 and 210 lbs., to be a starter, but his delivery and injury past should make him a long-term reliever. Schaller has leverage to return to school, but it would be surprising to see a third-round pick spurn a professional contract.

“Curb Your Enthusiasm”: Zach Linginfelter (round 19) began the year with potential to be a top-three round selection based on his mid-90s velocity and hard breaking ball. He was inconsistent for Tennessee this season, causing a draft day tumble and now could prefer to return to school to improve his draft stock in 2019. Cole Wilcox (round 37) was a top-50 prospect based solely on talent, but fell due to bonus concerns and a strong college commitment to Georgia. He features a mid-90s fastball, a nasty slider and a decent changeup. He is extremely unlikely to sign and projects as a top-three round pick in three years.

“Family Matters”: The Nationals made several legacy picks this year, selecting Colin Morse (round 26), brother of Nationals prospect Phil Morse. Washington chose Tyler Baca (round 34), the son of Nationals’ assistant director of amateur scouting Mark Baca, and Michael Menhart (round 40), the son of Nationals pitching coordinator Paul Menhart.

“Community”:

* Breakdown: 33 college players, seven high school players

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* Best value pick: Tyler Cropley (round 8), a stellar defensive catcher and a developing bat

* Best fastball: Reid Schaller (round 3)

* Best off-speed pitch: Cate, curveball

* Best hitter: Gage Canning (round 5)

* Best defender: Cropley

* Best name: Onix Vega (round 20)

* Biggest sleeper: Chandler Day (round 7), good pure stuff, but results have never matched his talent

*Originally Published at MASNSports.com 6/8/18*

THE Joshua Kusnick Experience #32 – Getting Paid

THE Joshua Kusnick Experience returns during MLB Draft week with Episode #32.

Our conversation begins with Josh describing the work he does during draft week.  Next we discuss a recent USA Today article, which leads to talk about how agent’s are paid and the role they play once a player is a professional.  Finally, Josh shares his story of meeting 2018 1st round pick Shane McClanahan, his lengthy friendship with new Cincinnati GM Nick Krall and Josh discloses our 1st guest for our Live Event.

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