THE Joshua Kusnick Experience Episode #46 has an unusual Sunday drop date but this show was too hot to wait for a weekday. This week Josh and Ryan discuss the state of free agency and if it is “broken”. Then we discussed the 2019 Hall of Fame class, along with playing the “soon-to-be-famous” Podcast game, “What was his WAR“?
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Thanks for listening and please follow us on Twitter @JoshKusnickPod.
Each year after I produce THE NatsGM Washington Nationals Top Prospect List, I like to review my notes and see which prospects did not make the cut. Then, I attempt to select 3 to 4 prospects outside my Top-30 who deserve more hype and I expect to climb prospect rankings this season.
In past years I have correctly identified breakout seasons for Daniel Johnson in 2017 and Tres Barrera in 2018, although there have been some whiffs as well. Nevertheless, these are my three favorite sleepers in Washington’s farm system.
Andry Arias 1B/OF
Washington signed Arias as an international free agent in July 2017 from the Dominican Republic. Standing 6’3” 180lbs, the 18-year-old has a lean, lanky body with a frame to add mass. Arias has a smooth left-handed swing with obvious bat speed. He shows a knack for putting the barrel on the baseball, and scouts project he will hit for power in the future. Defensively he has split time between first base and corner outfield, with scouts believing he has enough speed and athleticism to stay in the outfield long-term. Arias should make his stateside debut in 2019 and has the potential to zoom up prospect rankings this year.
Chandler Day RHP
Washington’s 7th round selection last June from
Vanderbilt University, Chandler Day is an uber-projectable 6’5” 180lbs with very
long limbs. Day possesses the
traditional 3-pitch repertoire, consisting of a low-90s fastball, a promising
but inconsistent curveball and a changeup.
Day has been on scouts’ radar since high school, yet his results on the
mound have never quite matched his skill level.
However, he did strike out 45 hitters over his 36.1 collegiate innings
last year, then followed that up with a 3.41 and 29 strikeouts in his 34.1
professional innings last summer. Day is
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come together.
Gilbert Lara SS/3B
Astute prospect nerd will instantly recognize Lara’s name as
a former July 2nd bonus baby, signing with Milwaukee for a $3.2
million bonus in 2014. Since then Lara
has occasionally flashed his impressive tools, yet he has generally scuffled in
game action. Lara repeated Low-A last
season, batting only .249/.281/.352 with 5 home runs and 33 extra base hits
over 115 games played. He has obvious
bat speed and legitimate raw power, but his long swing and poor balance at the
plate hinders his ability to make contact.
Defensively he has split time between shortstop and third
base, but the 6’4” 200lbs Lara is beginning to outgrow the middle infield. He has the arm strength, hands and quickness
to project as a strong defensive third baseman.
Washington acquired Lara from Milwaukee last August,
gambling that a change of scenery could help him blossom as a player. Only 21-years-old, Lara still has major
league potential due to his impressive physical tools and his potential to be a
dynamic defensive third baseman, yet there is also a great risk he never
graduates Double-A. On sheer talent, he
is a top-10 prospect in Washington’s system.
Originally from the U.S. Virgin Islands, Agustin moved to the Dominican Republic and signed with Washington for $50,000 in October 2013. The 22-year-old Agustin has struggled with injuries since signing, but was beginning to breakout at the beginning of 2018 before yet another injury occurred. Listed at 5-10 160lbs, Agustin has above-average speed, good barrel skills and some sneaky pull power. He has a fringe-average arm, which causes him to profile best in left field. Agustin has a ceiling as a starting left fielder if the power continues to emerge, with his likely outcome being as a backup outfielder if he can stay healthy.
Full Scouting Report -> http://natsgm.com/2018/10/05/prospect-spotlight-telmito-agustin/
#22 Tres Barrera Catcher
Barrera was Washington’s 6th round pick in 2016 after a strong career at the University of Texas. Behind the dish Barrera projects as an easy plus defender. He possesses a plus, accurate arm with a lightning fast release, allowing him to effectively shut down opposing runners. He is a quiet receiver and has a knack for blocking errant pitches. Offensively he has fringe-average bat speed and struggles with strikeouts, limiting his future potential as a hitter. However, he has a mature approach and has above-average raw power. Barrera has a ceiling as a quality, major league backup catcher.
Full Scouting Report ->http://natsgm.com/2018/09/12/prospect-spotlight-tres-barrera/
#23 Sterling
Sharp RHP
Drafted in the 22nd round in 2016 from Drury, Washington
may have stumbled into a late blooming prospect in Sharp. Standing 6’4” 185lbs, Sharp utilizes his extremely
long limbs to get tremendous extension and deception in his delivery. He features a 3-pitch mix, consisting of an
88-to-92mph sinker, a quality changeup with arm-side fade and a fringe-average
slider. Sharp learned his sinker grip
from watching former National Blake Treinen, and this pitch has helped generate
a nearly 60% ground ball ratio the past two seasons. Sharp will be 24 in May and still needs minor
league seasoning, but he has a ceiling as a #5 starter.
#24 Tomas Alastre RHP
Washington signed Alastre for a $350,000 bonus as an
international free agent in July 2014. Alastre stands 6’4” 170lbs with
long limbs and physical projection remaining. The 20-year-old features the
traditional 3-pitch arsenal of an 89-91mph fastball with natural sink, a
75-78mph curveball and an 83-87mph changeup with arm-side sink. He has
good feel for his off-speed pitches and should add velocity as his body
matures. The risk is high due to his lack of elite velocity or a monster
out-pitch, but Alastre has a ceiling of a future back-end starter.
Full Scouting Report ->http://natsgm.com/2018/05/25/prospect-spotlight-tomas-alastre/
#25 Austen
Williams RHP
Washington drafted Williams in the 6th round of
the 2014 draft from Texas State University.
After spending his first several years as a starter, Williams flourished
working in relief in 2018. Williams
utilizes a 3-pitch repertoire, featuring a 91-to-94mph fastball with arm-side
run, a powerful low-80s curveball with excellent shape, and the occasional
low-80s changeup. Williams pounds the
lower part of the strike zone and can locate to all four quadrants with
above-average command. He was added to
Washington’s 40-man roster late in 2018, and could be a potential bullpen
option this season. Williams has a
ceiling as a league-average setup reliever.
Full Scouting Report ->http://natsgm.com/2018/10/01/introducing-washington-nationals-austen-williams/
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#26 Joan Baez RHP
The Nationals signed Baez as an international free agent in
April 2014 from the Dominican Republic.
Baez is blessed with a wiry, projectable 6’3” 190lbs body and excellent
arm speed. He has a 3-pitch arsenal,
featuring a 92-95mph fastball that can touch higher, a high-70s curveball with
plus potential and a firm mid-80s changeup.
Washington has developed the 24-year-old as a starter, but his lack of a
changeup and below-average command should make him a reliever long-term. He profiles as a middle reliever, with a
ceiling as a quality setup man.
#27 Steven Fuentes RHP
Another international free agent, Washington signed Fuentes
for a $35,000 bonus out of Panama in July 2013.
The 21-year-old owns a three-pitch repertoire, consisting of an
89-to-93mph fastball with heavy sink, an 81-to-84mph slider to sharp bite,
along with the occasional mid-80s changeup.
He is an intriguing prospect due to his sinking fastball and potentially
above-average slider, yet his lack of premium velocity and his mediocre command
limits his overall ceiling. Fuentes has
a ceiling of a multi-inning reliever in the mold of former National Craig Stammen, with the likely outcome
being a reliever who bounces between Triple-A and the majors.
Full Scouting Report ->http://natsgm.com/2018/09/28/prospect-spotlight-steven-fuentes/
#28 Nick Raquet LHP
Raquet was Washington’s 3rd round pick in 2017
from the College of William & Mary.
The 6’0” 215lbs lefty is powerfully built with thick legs. Raquet features a 4-pitch mix, including a
low-90s fastball, a quality 82-to-84mph slider, changeup and curveball. His command and control of the strike zone
can waver and is below-average, but has improved dramatically as a
professional. Washington has developed
Raquet as a starter, yet his future lies in the bullpen. He has a ceiling as a middle reliever that is
particularly difficult against lefties.
Full Scouting Report
->http://natsgm.com/2018/09/21/prospect-spotlight-nick-raquet/
#29 Kyle
McGowin RHP
McGowin was originally drafted by Anaheim in Round 5 of the 2013 draft, and Washington acquired him in December 2016, along with Austin Adams, in exchange for Danny Espinosa. A wiry 6’3” 195lbs, McGowin throws from a low three-quarters arm-slot and features a three-pitch repertoire. The fastball sits 89-to-92mph with quality sink, a slider that works at 81-to-84mph with slurvy shape, along with a low-80s changeup. McGowin was added to Washington’s 40-man roster late in the season based upon his success in 2018 and ability to locate three fringe-average pitches. He has a ceiling as a major league spot starter or long reliever and should see time in Washington this season.
Full Scouting Report ->http://natsgm.com/2018/10/08/introducing-washington-nationals-rhp-kyle-mcgowin/
#30 Brigham
Hill RHP
Hill was Washington’s 5th round pick in 2017 after a distinguished career at Texas A&M. He is an undersized righty listed at 6’0” 185lbs (likely closer to 5’10”) who features the traditional 3-pitch mix of a fastball, curveball and changeup. Hill’s fastball sits 89-to-92mph with excellent sink, a nasty low-80s changeup and a fringy mid-70s curveball. He pounds the lower part of the strike zone and possesses above-average command. He has battled injuries since signing, pitching only 99 innings total innings. Still only 23-year-old, Hill should begin 2019 at High-A, and has a ceiling as a #5 starter or long reliever.
On Monday NatsGM ranked our picks for the Top-10 prospects in the Nationals’ system – Today we select our picks for prospects #11-#20.
#11 Tanner
Rainey RHP
Acquired from Cincinnati last month for Tanner Roark, the
26-year-old Rainey was the Reds’ 2nd round pick in 2015. Rainey was dominant in 2018 at Triple-A,
throwing 51 innings and allowing only 25 hits and 35 walks against 65
strikeouts, which earned him a late season major league cameo. Rainey is blessed with elite stuff, including
an upper-90s fastball that can reach triple digits, a hard upper-80s slider and
a changeup. As the walk total confirms,
Rainey struggles with his command, which is below-average or worse. He will need to improve this to reach his
ceiling as a high-leverage late-inning reliever, with his likely outcome being
a major league role in middle relief.
#12 James
Bourque RHP
Washington selected Bourque in the 14th round in 2014 following a strong career at the University of Michigan. The 25-year-old spent his first few professional seasons as a starter, before flourishing in a move to the bullpen last year. Bourque was dominant across two levels last season, posting a 1.70 ERA over 53 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts against only 30 hits and 26 walks.
Bourque features a three-pitch arsenal consisting of a low-to-mid 90s fastball, a devastating mid-80s changeup with split-finger movement, and a low-80s slider. He is an intriguing relief prospect due to his velocity and a changeup that can neutralize lefties, but his below-average command likely limits his ceiling to a 7th or 8th inning reliever.
Full Scouting Report -> http://natsgm.com/2018/11/23/introducing-washington-nationals-james-bourque/
#13 Kyle Johnston RHP
Johnston was Washington’s 6th round pick in 2017, following a strong career at the University of Texas. The 22-year-old stands 6’0” 190lbs with a well-built frame and powerful legs. Johnston features a 3-pitch repertoire of a 91-95mph fastball, a low-80s slider, plus a mid-80s changeup with movement. Washington has developed him as a starter, but his build and inefficient delivery likely profile better in relief. Johnston has a ceiling of a #5 starter, with a likely outcome he works in middle relief. He is one of my favorite prospects in the system.
Full Scouting Report -> http://natsgm.com/2018/06/13/prospect-spotlight-kyle-johnston-rhp-hagerstown-suns/
#14 Reid
Schaller RHP
Washington’s 3rd round pick last June from Vanderbilt University, Schaller was a rare draft-eligible freshman after undergoing Tommy John surgery while in school. Schaller worked out of the bullpen for the Commodores in 2018, overwhelming the competition with an upper-90s fastball and a powerful slider. He has the frame at 6’3” 210lbs to work as a starter, but his funky delivery should make him a reliever long-term. Schaller has the ceiling as a high-leverage late-inning reliever.
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#15 Jake
Irwin RHP
The Nationals’ 4th round selection last June, Irvin is a massive 6’6” 225lbs blessed with long limbs and a solid 3-pitch arsenal. Irwin’s fastball sits 90-93mph with heavy sink, a quality slider and an improving changeup. He pounds the strike zone with above-average command, and gets excellent extension toward home plate. Irwin has a ceiling as a durable, back-end starting pitcher, with the fallback option being a move to the bullpen.
#16 Malvin
Pena RHP
Signed by Washington as an international free agent in 2013, the 21-year-old Pena missed all of 2015 and 2016 with injuries, and has only thrown 134.1 innings since turning professional. When healthy, Pena is an intriguing prospect, possessing a three-pitch arsenal and improving control of the strike zone. Pena features a mid-90s fastball that can touch 96mph, a hard breaking slider and a promising mid-80s changeup. There are obvious concerns about his long-term health, and his “herky-jerky” delivery might work better in a relief capacity. Washington will continue to develop him as a starter, but Pena’s future might ultimately be in a relief capacity.
#17 Joan
Adon RHP
Yet another impressive international free agent signee from the July 2016 class, Adon is a wiry 6’2” 185lbs blessed with a lightning-fast arm. The 20-year-old Adon has easy mid-90s fastball velocity, along with a nasty mid-80s slider. He is inconsistent repeating his mechanics and his arm slot, causing him to struggle with below-average present command. Adon is extremely risky as a prospect, but has 7th or 8th inning reliever upside if everything comes together.
#18 Raudy
Read Catcher
Signed by Washington as an 2011 international free agent, Read spent most of 2018 on the restricted list after testing positive for PEDs last winter. Defensively Read has a strong arm and does well controlling opposing base stealers, but struggles blocking and framing errant pitches. The right-handed hitting Read struggles making consistent contact, yet flashes plus raw power and punishes fastballs on the inner-third. The loss of the majority of 2018 is a major detriment to his development, but the 25-year-old Read still projects as an offensive-first backup major league catcher.
#19 Jose Sanchez SS
Washington signed Sanchez for $950,000 in July 2016 as an international free agent based on his strong arm, excellent speed and defensive wizardry at shortstop. Unfortunately his bat lags behind his defense, as he hit only .209/.280/.247 in 2017 and followed it up by hitting .230/.309/.282 at Auburn last summer. Scouts like the 18-year-old Sanchez’s compact swing and feel for the barrel, but at 5’11” 155lbs, he must add strength to take the next step offensively. He has a long-term ceiling as a defensive-oriented major league shortstop, but the development risk is extreme.
#20 Gage Canning OF
Canning was Washington’s 5th round pick last June after a sterling three-year career at Arizona State. Listed at 5’10” 175lbs, the 21-year-old Canning is a wiry athlete blessed with easy plus speed and excellent baseball instincts. Defensively Canning split time in both center and right field in college, but profiles best in center due to his terrific speed and solid-average arm. At the plate, the left-handed hitter has a line drive approach and some raw pull power, but he does rack up strikeouts more often than a non-power hitter should. Canning’s defensive skills should allow him to carve out a role as a major league backup, and if he reaches his ceiling, perhaps he becomes a below-average starting center fielder.
Full Scouting Report -> http://natsgm.com/2018/09/05/prospect-spotlight-gage-canning/
Please return Friday when we rank prospect #21-#30 in Washington’s system. Thanks for reading!
