THE Midseason Baltimore Orioles Top-12 Prospect Rankings

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Certainly I am aware that the name of this site is NatsGM.com, but due to my appreciation for the Orioles and my proximity to their minor league affiliates, I watch a tremendous amount of Baltimore minor league baseball each summer.

The Orioles’ system will be ranked in the bottom third in baseball this upcoming winter, as the graduations of Kevin Gausman and Jonathan Schoop, the trade of Eduardo Rodriguez, and the lack of a 1st and 2nd round pick this summer has depleted the overall depth in the organization. However, Baltimore would fare significantly better on an Under 25-years-old list, which would include Gausman, Schoop, and franchise cornerstone Manny Machado.

My criterion for this list prioritizes, in order, the prospect’s possible ceiling, their likelihood to fulfill their potential, their positional value, and finally, how far they are from reaching the major leagues. In order to be on this list, the arbitrary cutoffs I used were 50+ major league innings for pitchers and more than 125 big league at-bats. With this in mind, here are my current Top-12 Baltimore Orioles’ Prospects.

Others Receiving Consideration:

Dariel Alvarez, Parker Bridwell, Patrick Connaughton, Brian Gonzalez, Jonah Heim, Branden Kline, Trey Mancini, Michael Ohlman, Ofelky Peralta, Stephen Tarpley, Henry Urrutia, Tyler Wilson, Jimmy Yacabonis,

#12 Adrian Marin SS

Adrian Marin

Adrian Marin

Like the coffee at McDonald’s, I like Adrian Marin far more than I should. For too long I stayed hung up on what Marin likely is not – a future MLB shortstop or speedy prototypical leadoff hitter. Conversely, I have started to focus on what the 20-year-old Marin is, a young middle infielder with average tools and strong baseball acumen that allows him to play above his skills.

Marin will never hit for power, and is likely a second baseman or utility player in the majors, but his bat-to-ball skills, defensive talent, and Baseball IQ should allow him to carve out a major league career. The profile is not particularly spicy, but Marin is a future big leaguer.

#11 Drew Dosch 3B

Drafted in the 7th round last summer by the Orioles, Dosch has a quality left-handed swing with apparent bat speed and quality plate discipline. With fringe-average speed and athleticism, along with an average arm, scouts question if he is a long-term third baseman, or if a shift to first base or the outfield is in his future. Regardless, Dosch can flat hit and that singular tool should allow him to reach the big leagues in the future.

#10 Jon Keller RHP

Orioles Prospect Jon Keller

Orioles Prospect Jon Keller

The Orioles 22nd round pick last summer, Keller possesses a prototypical pitcher’s frame, standing every bit of his listed 6-5 215lbs. Keller features a 3-pitch repertoire consisting of a 93-96mph fastball with late life, a promising, hard 85mph slider, and a firm mid-80s changeup. The 22-year-old needs to refine and polish his delivery, as there is some excess movement in his motion, which causes him to struggle to maintain his release point. Like most pitchers in A-ball, Keller also needs to improve his off-speed offerings, but both his changeup and slider showed promise. Keller is still raw, but has major league potential, and the Orioles got a steal with him last summer.

#9 Zach Davies RHP

A smallish but athletic right-handed pitcher, Davies continues to post impressive minor league numbers and out-pitching his 26th round selection in the 2011 draft. His repertoire consists of a 4-pitch mix with a 88-90mph fastball, an above-average changeup, and a fringy curveball and slider.

His detractors consistently questioned how he would perform when he reached Double-A, but Davies has continued to post solid numbers with a 3.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 83 strikeouts in 89.2 innings this season. The profile is not Val Kilmer in Top Gun sexy, but Davies has a chance to become a back-end major league starter.

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The 37th selection in the 2013 Draft, Hart is an elite athlete with plus speed and a fringe-average arm, allowing him to profile as a future plus defensive centerfielder. Scouts have long questioned his potential as a hitter, and he has done little to quell those concerns at Low-A Salisbury this summer. In addition, the 19-year-old does not project to hit for much power in the future. But Hart is still young enough to develop and mature into a dynamic leadoff hitter in a few years.  I like Hart’s potential and think he has breakout potential at Frederick in 2015.

#7 Mike Wright RHP

After a breakthrough season in 2013 at Double-A Bowie, Wright has more than stubbed his toe this season at Triple-A, posting a 5.73 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 113 innings pitched. Possessing a massive, near ideal pitcher’s frame at 6-6 215lbs, Wright has a solid 4-pitch repertoire consisting of a low-90s fastball, a mid-80s cutter/hard slider, a changeup, and curveball. Results aside, I still believe in Wright and his pro potential, though his future may ultimately reside in the bullpen.

#6 Mike Yastrzemski OF

A personal favorite prospect of mine since I watched him play for Cotuit in the Cape Cod League, yes Mike is indeed the grandson of Hall of Famer Carl Yastrzemski. However, Mike is beginning to more than make a name for himself on the baseball field, as his fringe-average across the board tools “play up” due to his insatiable want and baseball IQ. His ceiling is a league-average outfielder with a more likely career as a 4th outfielder, but Yastrzemski is a prototypical overachiever who will get everything out of his talent. Do not bet against him carving out a lengthy major league career.

#5 Tim Berry LHP

T BerryAn extremely polished left-hander with a solid three pitch mix, Berry commands his 90-93mph fastball throughout the strike zone, along with an average mid-70s sharp curveball, and a fringy changeup. Berry has a quiet, compact pitching delivery, which allows him to pound the bottom of the strike zone, and limits his walks allowed. Berry profiles as a #5 starting pitcher or invaluable late-inning left-handed reliever, as soon as next season.

#4 Christian Walker 1B

One of the true legends in college baseball, Walker was one of the most distinguished collegiate hitters in recent memory while at South Carolina. Armed with a linear right-handed swing, Walker has solid contact skills but does not produce much loft, which limits his home run power. A reasonable athlete with some agility, Walker projects as an average or better defender at first base, but he is limited to the position. A pure first base profile typically demands premium power potential, so Walker will need to continue to hit to silence his critics.

#3 Chance Sisco Catcher

Currently one of my favorite prospects in the low minors, Sisco was the Orioles 2nd round pick in 2013 as a high school shortstop transitioning behind the dish. Sisco has a strong arm and above-average athleticism as a former middle infielder, but he is extremely raw with his footwork and scouts strongly question if he will remain a catcher in the future. Personally, I believe in his work ethic and athleticism, and still think he could develop into a fringe-average defender.

Offensively, Sisco has a short, quick swing with some raw power, though he tends to prefer to use the entire field and often slaps the ball rather than attempting to hit for power. That said Sisco has outstanding hand-eye coordination and can flat hit, which is the most important tool for an offensive player. Sisco will hit his way to the major leagues, but his future position may not necessarily be as a catcher.

#2 Hunter Harvey RHP

The son of former major league closer Bryan Harvey, Hunter was the Orioles 1st round choice, 22nd overall last summer. After some minor adjustments to his motion last summer, Harvey blossomed and now features a 91-95mph fastball with movement, a true hammer curveball with plus potential and the makings of an average changeup. Harvey was recently shut down due to inflammation in his arm, a wise move by the Orioles. Nevertheless Harvey should return to the mound next season and with additional polish and improved command as he matures as a pitcher, Harvey has top-of-the-rotation potential in a few years.

#1 Dylan Bundy RHP

The Orioles 1st Round pick in 2011, 4th overall and immediately rose to prominence throughout minor league baseball en route to becoming the near-consensus top pitching prospect in the minor leagues in 2012. Bundy lost most of last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in June and has not recovered as quickly as some might prefer.

Before surgery, Bundy possessed a 94-97mph fastball, a monster plus-plus cutter, an above-average curveball and above-average changeup, along with excellent command of the strike zone. Assuming he returns to full health after an offseason to rest and recover, Bundy still has the potential to be one of the best pitchers in baseball.