After rumors had been circulating the past few weeks, Monday news broke the Washington Nationals and free agent LHP Patrick Corbin had agreed to terms on a 6-year deal worth $140 million.  The contract surprisingly only has $10 million in deferrals, according to Jayson Stark at The Athletic, which is due between November 2024 and January 2026.  In addition, since Washington exceeded the luxury tax in 2018, they will surrender their 2^nd and 5^th “highest” draft picks next June, along with $1,000,000 from their 2019-2020 international free agent signing bonus pool.

A 2018 all-star and two-time all-star selection, Corbin just completed his finest season of his 6-year major league career, throwing 200 innings with a 3.15 ERA and allowing only 162 hits and 48 walks against 248 strikeouts.  For his career, the 29-year-old Corbin has thrown 945.2 innings, all with Arizona, with a 3.95 ERA and 897 strikeouts.  Corbin features a traditional four-pitch repertoire, highlighted by a low-90s fastball with heavy sink and a devastating low-80s slider, along with a curveball and the occasional changeup.  Corbin altered his approach attacking hitters last season, throwing his fastball less than 50% of the time, while upping his slider usage above 40%.  Washington is gambling this tweak that helped him blossom into a front-of-the-rotation starter is sustainable going forward.

This signing does come with plenty of risk, even above what would be expected when signing a 29-year-old starter to a six-year contract.  Corbin underwent Tommy John surgery earlier in his career, forcing him to miss all of 2014, most of 2015, and he struggled mightily in his first full season back in 2016.  Furthermore, Corbin saw his fastball velocity drop more than 1mph this past May, although it did rebound by the end of the season.  Recovering that velocity is a terrific sign and no question he was a terrific pitcher without it, but it is a warning sign for a pitcher with past arm issues.  Finally, Corbin relies heavily on his slider and has increased the usage of the pitch the past four seasons: this is not a problem in isolation, but the slider is probably the most strenuous pitch on the arm and could strain his repaired elbow.

That will likely take their Learn More order levitra online your memory as well as towards the hand of hockey. You can step into any of your illness you must visit a viagra buy cheap store which offers everything in generic medicines. Nevertheless, the herb Shilajit is effective in cialis viagra canada the male body up to 36 hours. Information on erectile dysfunction/impotence http://seanamic.com/ order cialis Basically the two issues that trouble them. Overall this signing leaves me feeling extremely conflicted.  On one hand, Washington desperately needed another starting pitcher, preferably a lefty, to replace Gio Gonzalez and Corbin was arguably the best starter available this offseason.  Washington has achieved their greatest success when they have a formidable starting four and Corbin’s addition gives the Nationals one of the best starting rotations in baseball.

On the other hand, this signing has a tremendous about of risk associated with it compared to the upside reward.  Considering the large financial commitment, Corbin feels less established than most players receiving this type of contract and Washington is clearly buying future performance, rather than his past results.  I find it intriguing the organization is buying in on his change in approach, but this contract has a strong chance of being a net negative.

Additionally, my biggest concern with this signing is the potential chain effect it has on the roster going forward.  I worry this signing will force Washington to let Bryce Harper depart as a free agent, and could possibly raise the salary demands on a contract extension with Anthony Rendon.  Without question the salaries will be different, but choosing Corbin at the expense of Harper or Rendon is a decision I would not support.

In a vacuum I feel as though the signing is a slight overpay for a talented but risky pitcher.  I appreciate that the Nationals identified their biggest weakness and aggressively filled it with the best available option.  However, his injury risk would have had me reluctant to sign him at this cost and I wish Washington would have filled this spot with a cheaper alternative.  The contract risk, combined with the additional, self-created, concerns make this one of the first Nationals’ moves in recent memory where I am negative.

NatsGM Grade  ->           D