Washington drafted Taylor Guilbeau in the 10th round of the 2015 MLB Draft after a solid career at the University of Alabama.  Guilbeau’s first two full professional years were split between the starting rotation and bullpen, before transitioning exclusively to relief in 2018.  The shift was a revelation, as Guilbeau posted a 2.52 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 35.2 innings pitched last season.  In particular Guilbeau overmatched left-handed hitters, holding them to a .184 average and 20 strikeouts.  This success, plus being Rule 5 eligible this winter, caused the organization to send him to the Arizona Fall League, where he continued pitching well with a 1.74 ERA in 10.1 innings.

Listed at 6’4” 180lbs, Guilbeau has long limbs and a lean, wiry frame.  The 25-year-old throws from a low 3/4s arm slot, which combined with his lanky frame, creates tremendous deception to opposing lefties.  He struggles to repeat his delivery, which does not show up in his walks allowed total but hinders his command of the strike zone.  He will flash fringe-average command on his best days, but it is below-average overall.

Guilbeau utilizes a three pitch repertoire of a fastball, slider and changeup, although he’s primarily a fastball – slider pitcher who throws the occasional cambio.  The fastball sits 92-95mph, touching 96mph on rare occasions, with some sink down at the knees and natural life above the letters.  The shift to the bullpen has done wonders for his velocity, which sat more 89-92mph in my viewings in previous years.  His best off-speed pitch is a hard upper-80s slider that is extremely difficult for lefties to square up.  It has plenty of tilt, which induces whiffs but makes it difficult to command in the zone.  Finally he throws a mid-80s changeup with good velocity separation from the fastball, but the pitch is firm and lacks much natural movement.
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The Nationals made a somewhat surprising decision this week not to add Guilbeau to the 40-man roster, thus leaving him exposed to the Rule 5 draft next month.  No question his age, short track record of success as a reliever and not pitching above A-ball were the reasons Washington did not protect him.  Yet, I fear there is a reasonable chance he is selected next month, as there was a buzz amongst scouts in the Arizona Fall League talking about Guilbeau’s increased velocity and success against left-handed hitters.  Frankly, I would have added him to 40-man roster.

Guilbeau is an intriguing left-handed relief prospect due to his impressive fastball velocity, hard breaking slider, and success neutralizing lefties.  His lack of a plus off-speed pitch, coupled with his below-average command, limits his major league ceiling to a lefty specialist who works in middle relief.  However, he has the right disposition to work in relief, along with enough velocity and deception in his delivery to get major leaguers out.  He should begin next season at Double-A and could see time in the majors as soon as 2019.