Late Tuesday evening, after several days of rumor and speculation, the Washington Nationals agreed to terms on a minor league contract with an invitation to spring training with veteran right-handed starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo. According to reports, Arroyo will earn a $2 million base salary if he makes the Nationals’ roster, with an additional $6 million in performance-based incentives. Arroyo played for new Nationals’ manager Dusty Baker in Cincinnati for six years and this reunion allows him the opportunity to compete for a spot on a playoff contender this season.
The almost 39-year-old Arroyo has not pitched since June 2014 after falling victim to Tommy John surgery. Before this injury Arroyo had established himself as one of the most durable pitchers in baseball, throwing 199+ innings annually from 2005-2013. He does not possess elite stuff, as his fastball barely touches 87mph, but rather survives by limiting his walks (2.4 BB/9 career) and home runs allowed (1.2 HR/9). During his 15-year major league career Arroyo owns a 4.19 ERA, 4.37 xFIP, and a 5.81 K/9 ratio over his 2,364.2 innings pitched. In summary, if you look up “veteran innings-eating starting pitcher” in a baseball dictionary, Arroyo’s picture will be prominently displayed.
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Arroyo’s signing gives the Washington rotation veteran depth it was previous lacking on their roster. Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez comprise a formitable top-3, with Tanner Roark and Joe Ross projected as the #4 and #5 starters. However, questions surround Roark’s return to the rotation, along with how Ross will respond in his first full major league season. And prior to this signing, only “The Phenomenal One” A.J. Cole appeared to be major league ready depth behind the projected top-5. Now Arroyo offers a nice safety net in case of poor performance or injuries to the rotation. Plus he provides a potential bridge to the arrival of prospects Lucas Giolito or Reynaldo Lopez later in 2016.
Much like most minor league contracts, there is a chance Arroyo never pitches an inning for Washington due to his injury or current place on the depth chart. Nonetheless Arroyo does provide the organization with something they previously lacked, namely experienced depth serving as their “#6” starting pitcher. Assuming he is healthy nearly 19 months post-surgery, I believe Arroyo will secure a spot on the 25-man Opening Day roster and head north with Washington. There is virtually no risk involved in this deal, and the potential Arroyo returns to form as a league-average starting pitcher, making this a shrewd, intriguing gamble by Washington’s front office.
