Trea Turner

The long wait is finally over Nationals fans! Late Friday afternoon the Washington Nationals purchased the contract of minor league shortstop Trea Turner from Triple-A Syracuse and placed him on Washington’s active roster. In corresponding moves, the Nationals placed OF Tyler Moore on the disabled list with an injury and placed RHP Aaron Barrett on the 60-day DL to clear a spot on the 40-man roster. Turner is expected to be in uniform Friday evening to begin Washington’s home stand.

Acquired from San Diego, along with RHP Joe Ross by way of Tampa Bay in a complicated 3-team swap last offseason, Turner was the 1st round pick of San Diego in 2014, 13th overall, after a distinguished college career at North Carolina State. At draft time Turner was seen as a polarizing prospect, as few questioned his speed and athleticism, but many were skeptical if he could remain at shortstop in the major leagues and/or make enough contact to properly utilize his wheels.

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Since entering professional baseball, Turner has done nothing but quiet critics, showing enough arm strength, agility and polish to silence his defensive critics. Furthermore, Turner has made some mechanical adjustments to his swing, which has allowed him to blossom offensively, hitting .322/.371/.458 with 8 home runs, 39 extra base hits and 29 stolen bases this season. In short, no prospect in the minor leagues has done more to raise his stock and improve himself this season than Trea Turner.

From a scouting perspective, the 22-year-old Turner has loud tools, highlighted by his plus-plus or “70” grade speed – it is startling how fast Turner is on the bases. Along with his speed, Turner has a solid-average throwing arm and a quick release, which allows him to profile as a “55” or above-average defender at shortstop. Offensively Turner has below-average to fringe-average raw power (40/45) and has improved at the plate enough in 2015 that I feel comfortable putting an above-average or “55” on his future hit tool. Combine these talents and Turner projects as an above-average two-way major league shortstop, perhaps as soon as Opening Day 2016.

For the rest of 2015 I would expect Turner to slot into a versatile bench role, seeing time at both shortstop and second base, pinch hitting in the later innings and acting as a valuable pinch runner. I would anticipate Turner’s offensive prowess to decline at the major league level due to his rather high BABIP in 2015 (.389 in 58 games for AA San Diego, .381 for AAA Washington) along with the improved quality of pitching. That said, Turner gives Washington a more well-rounded athlete to bolster their struggling bench and this cameo should be terrific experience for him as he is expected to be a major part of the Nationals infield in 2016.

Turner is the best infield prospect Washington has promoted since Anthony Rendon and should be a major part of the Nationals infield for much of the rest of this decade.  Congratulations to Trea Turner on his promotion and to Nationals fans who will forever remember August 21, 2015 as #TreaDay.