Introducing THE Top MLB Pitching Prospects

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Yesterday we examined some of the top hitting prospects available in this year’s MLB Draft – today we turn our attention to the mound and the top pitchers to be had in this class. One of the strengths of this draft is college pitching, with an excellent chance 8-10 prospects come off the board in the 1st round.  While I cannot highlight every elite name, these are several of the best arms available, each of whom should be selected on Day 1.

Dillon Tate RHP UC Santa Barbara

After pitching as a closer for UCSB last year and for Team USA last summer, Tate made the transition to Friday night starter this year and has been nothing short of outstanding. Tate features a 94-98mph fastball with life, along with a hard plus slider and a developing changeup. His delivery has a pronounced, high leg kick and plenty of moving parts, but he repeats the motion well and has exceptional arm speed. The only real knocks against Tate are his lack of a track record as a starter and his non-ideal delivery, but he has a chance to develop into a top-of-the-rotation starting pitcher and should not escape the top-4 picks in the draft.

Tyler Jay LHP University of Illinois

Considered the top left-handed pitcher in this year’s class, Jay spent the 2015 season serving as the closer for Illinois, rather unusual for a lefty with mid-90s velocity, a monster slider, along with a quality curveball and changeup. While his detractors question if he can be a long-term starter primarily since he has pitched in relief, he should have a fresh arm and could move quickly if a team kept him in a bullpen role. He has a high floor of a dominant reliever, with a strong chance he develops into a #2/#3 starting pitcher.

Walker Buehler RHP Vanderbilt

Buehler entered this season with some consideration for a top-3 selection, after leading Vanderbilt to the NCAA championship last spring, then followed that up with an MVP award in the Cape Cod League playoffs, leading Y-D to the title. Buehler has a low-90s fastball, along with 3 quality offspeed offerings, along with some projection remaining in his lean physique. He has not quite lived up to the hype this season as a junior, though the recent outings have been better. Buehler should come off the board between #10-#20 to a team that prioritizes results and appreciates a projectable pitcher’s body.

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A smallish but powerfully built right-handed pitcher, Fulmer possesses an impressive 3-pitch mix, featuring a mid-90s fastball with life, a plus curveball with bite and a fringy changeup. His fastball and curveball combination is as good as there is in this draft, but his delivery, physical stature and mediocre changeup lead scouts to question if his future is as a reliever. He throws strikes and repeats his delivery well, giving his supporters reason to believe he will stay in the starting rotation in the pros. Either way, Fulmer has a floor as a late-innings impact relief pitcher and a ceiling as a mid-rotation starting pitcher – He should not escape the top-15 picks next week.

Brady Aiken LHP IMG Academy Bradenton, FL

The number 1 overall selection in last year’s draft, Aiken and the Astros had a major falling out during negotiations, to the point where Aiken passed on signing and enrolled at the IMG Academy in Florida. Since then, Aiken threw one inning for IMG before leaving the mound and soon thereafter, underwent Tommy John surgery. Pre-surgery Aiken had a fastball in the upper-90s, along with three potentially above-average to plus offspeed pitches. Now questions exist which team will gamble on this high-risk/high-reward lefty, with rumors heavily linking him to the Dodgers at #24. However, do not be surprised if a team picks him before the 20s, as he was considered the top prospect in a perceived stronger draft last year.

James Kaprielian RHP UCLA

UCLA’s Friday night starter this season, Kaprielian starred for Team USA last summer and continued his excellence for the Bruins, leading them to an overall #1 national seed in the NCAA Tournament. Kaprielian has an impressive 3-pitch mix, consisting of a low-90s fastball, solid curveball and above-average changeup. Kaprielian may not have the greatest ceiling, but in a draft filled with High-Risk/High-Reward type prospects, his floor is one of the highest in this class. He figures to develop into a quality #4 starter in the major leagues.

Mike Matuella RHP Duke University

Perhaps the most controversial player in this draft, Matuella at this time last year was considered one of the favorites to be selected 1st overall, as his upper-90s velocity, 4-quality pitches, and monster pitching frame makes him an ideal starting pitching prospect. However, Matuella was diagnosed with a chronic back condition last fall and underwent Tommy John surgery this spring, causing many teams to take him completely off their draft boards due to his medicals. Conversely, most pitchers eventually break and when Matuella is healthy, he has some of the best pure stuff for a draft prospect in recent memory. He should be selected on Day 1 of the draft, but he could be selected anywhere from #10 through #70, depending on a team’s appetite for risk and confidence in signing him.

1 thought on “Introducing THE Top MLB Pitching Prospects

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