Last weekend I took advantage of the nice weather to sit on the weekend series between the Frederick Keys, the Orioles High-A affiliate, and the Wilmington Blue Rocks, the Kansas City farm club. All winter I have been anticipating watching the talented hitting prospects from last year’s Delmarva team, namely Chance Sisco, Josh Hart and Drew Dosch, graduate to Frederick. Unfortunately both Sisco and Hart are currently nursing injuries on the disabled list, which allowed me an opportunity to take an extended look at Dosch.
Offensively Dosch is a left-handed hitter with a short, compact swing and shows looseness in his wrists. His swing is extremely flat and linear, making it difficult for him to generate much loft on the ball and thus, limits his potential to hit for power. Dosch does well recognizing and hitting fastballs, but he struggles mightily identifying offspeed pitches, especially anything with spin. I am concerned as he moves through the minors and the pitcher’s breaking stuff continues to improve, he will rack up large strikeout numbers. Overall I like his swing for the purposes of making contact but I am wary of his future power production and his ability to make contact against quality offspeed offerings.
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Defensively I came away from this weekend woefully disappointed in Dosch and his future at the hot corner. First the positives – Dosch has soft hands, good lateral agility and a relatively accurate throwing arm. Unfortunately that’s where the compliments end, as Dosch shows below-average arm strength, poor mechanics when throwing the ball (he slows down his arm during release and throws from a stiff front leg) and very sloppy footwork defensively. I cannot see him playing third base in the big leagues and I fear his footwork will not be conducive at second base and his arm strength would make a transition to a corner outfield spot unlikely as well.
In summary, I see Dosch possessing below-average speed, power, arm strength and defensive skills, with his bat rating closer to fringe-average. At 6-2 200lbs and almost 23 years of age, there is little projection physically remaining with him, meaning that the improvements to his game must likely come from a skills perspective going forward. I like Dosch’s swing but I have reservations with his future defensive position and how he profiles in the majors.
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