7-Word Scouting Report: Prototypical Physique, Monster 3-Pitch Repertoire, Needs Development
Considered to be the top pitching prospect in his draft class, Giolito spent the majority of his senior season in high school rehabilitating an arm injury, allowing rumors to swirl about the necessity for a future Tommy John surgery and a subsequent slide on draft day. Washington took advantage of these injury concerns and pounced on the opportunity to select him with the 16th overall pick in the 2012 MLB Draft.
Soon after signing his professional contract, in the fall of 2012 Giolito underwent Tommy John surgery, effectively shutting him down for the 2013 season. Once fully recovered to begin 2014, Washington was cautious with Giolito this season, allowing him to pitch 98 innings in his 20 starts for Low-A Hagerstown. Despite the innings limit, Giolito overwhelmed the South Atlantic League batters, posting a 2.20 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 110 strikeouts against only 28 walks last season.
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Armed with three plus to plus-plus pitches, an ideal pitcher’s body, and the makings of a solid delivery, it is obvious why he is the top prospect in the organization. Certainly he needs additional time in the minors to build his stamina, develop the consistency of his pitching motion, and gain additional experience on the mound, but the biggest question mark with Giolito is if he can stay healthy. Giolito is one of the rare pitching prospects with the legitimate potential to develop into a #1 starter and is in the discussion as the top pitching prospect in minor league baseball.
The Nationals have handled Giolito like delivery men are supposed to treat boxes marked “fragile” since his selection, but the team should look to unleash him on the Carolina League in 2015. Giolito is expected to headline a prospect-laden starting rotation for High-A Potomac, with the possibility of a late season promotion to Double-A Harrisburg. Assuming Giolito remains healthy, he could arrive in the major leagues late in 2016 or early 2017.
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