After rumors had been circulating the past few weeks, Monday news broke the Washington Nationals and free agent LHP Patrick Corbin had agreed to terms on a 6-year deal worth $140 million.  The contract surprisingly only has $10 million in deferrals, according to Jayson Stark at The Athletic, which is due between November 2024 and January 2026.  In addition, since Washington exceeded the luxury tax in 2018, they will surrender their 2^nd and 5^th “highest” draft picks next June, along with $1,000,000 from their 2019-2020 international free agent signing bonus pool.

A 2018 all-star and two-time all-star selection, Corbin just completed his finest season of his 6-year major league career, throwing 200 innings with a 3.15 ERA and allowing only 162 hits and 48 walks against 248 strikeouts.  For his career, the 29-year-old Corbin has thrown 945.2 innings, all with Arizona, with a 3.95 ERA and 897 strikeouts.  Corbin features a traditional four-pitch repertoire, highlighted by a low-90s fastball with heavy sink and a devastating low-80s slider, along with a curveball and the occasional changeup.  Corbin altered his approach attacking hitters last season, throwing his fastball less than 50% of the time, while upping his slider usage above 40%.  Washington is gambling this tweak that helped him blossom into a front-of-the-rotation starter is sustainable going forward.

This signing does come with plenty of risk, even above what would be expected when signing a 29-year-old starter to a six-year contract.  Corbin underwent Tommy John surgery earlier in his career, forcing him to miss all of 2014, most of 2015, and he struggled mightily in his first full season back in 2016.  Furthermore, Corbin saw his fastball velocity drop more than 1mph this past May, although it did rebound by the end of the season.  Recovering that velocity is a terrific sign and no question he was a terrific pitcher without it, but it is a warning sign for a pitcher with past arm issues.  Finally, Corbin relies heavily on his slider and has increased the usage of the pitch the past four seasons: this is not a problem in isolation, but the slider is probably the most strenuous pitch on the arm and could strain his repaired elbow.

That will likely take their Learn More order levitra online your memory as well as towards the hand of hockey. You can step into any of your illness you must visit a viagra buy cheap store which offers everything in generic medicines. Nevertheless, the herb Shilajit is effective in cialis viagra canada the male body up to 36 hours. Information on erectile dysfunction/impotence http://seanamic.com/ order cialis Basically the two issues that trouble them. Overall this signing leaves me feeling extremely conflicted.  On one hand, Washington desperately needed another starting pitcher, preferably a lefty, to replace Gio Gonzalez and Corbin was arguably the best starter available this offseason.  Washington has achieved their greatest success when they have a formidable starting four and Corbin’s addition gives the Nationals one of the best starting rotations in baseball.

On the other hand, this signing has a tremendous about of risk associated with it compared to the upside reward.  Considering the large financial commitment, Corbin feels less established than most players receiving this type of contract and Washington is clearly buying future performance, rather than his past results.  I find it intriguing the organization is buying in on his change in approach, but this contract has a strong chance of being a net negative.

Additionally, my biggest concern with this signing is the potential chain effect it has on the roster going forward.  I worry this signing will force Washington to let Bryce Harper depart as a free agent, and could possibly raise the salary demands on a contract extension with Anthony Rendon.  Without question the salaries will be different, but choosing Corbin at the expense of Harper or Rendon is a decision I would not support.

In a vacuum I feel as though the signing is a slight overpay for a talented but risky pitcher.  I appreciate that the Nationals identified their biggest weakness and aggressively filled it with the best available option.  However, his injury risk would have had me reluctant to sign him at this cost and I wish Washington would have filled this spot with a cheaper alternative.  The contract risk, combined with the additional, self-created, concerns make this one of the first Nationals’ moves in recent memory where I am negative.

NatsGM Grade  ->           D

Somewhat lost amidst news that Yan Gomes was coming to Washington, Friday the Nationals agreed to terms with LHP Sammy Solis on a 1-year deal worth $850,000.  Last season Solis struggled mightily for the Nationals, posting a 6.41 ERA over 39.1 innings, leaving many speculating if Washington would tender him a contract this winter.  Not only did they tender him, they agreed to a contract rather than going to arbitration.

The 30-year-old Solis has battled through a rather uneven career in Washington, having periods of dominance and streaks of poor performance.  In his four major league seasons, Solis has a career 4.51 ERA with 136 strikeouts against 121 hits and 56 walks allowed over 127.2 innings pitched.  Somewhat surprisingly, Solis has fared better in his career against righties, allowing a .701 OPS to right-handed hitters verses a .759 OPS against lefties.  This issue was further exacerbated in 2018, as he allowed a .993 OPS to lefties against a .719 OPS verses righties.  Solis has electric stuff, featuring a mid-90s fastball, curveball and changeup, yet has never been able to fully put everything together, struggling with walks (3.9 BB/9 career) and home runs (1.0 HR/9 career).

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After last season, I must admit I thought Sammy Solis’s time in Washington would come to an end this winter.  And there is still a chance he could be elsewhere next season, either by trade this offseason or Washington could release him prior to Opening Day and only owe him 1/6^th of his salary.  But considering Washington aggressively signed him and Solis is out of minor league options, I expect to see “The Hammer” in Washington’s bullpen next season.

Assuming this to be true, I would like to see Washington stretch out Solis in spring training, with the idea of using him in a multi-inning relief role next season.  In this scenario, Solis would avoid working as a lefty specialist, and by facing multiple batters, Martinez would be forced to limit his usage and space out his appearances.  This would give Solis more days off to keep his arm fresh and give him his best chance for success.  And for Washington, this would give Martinez a multi-inning lefty capable of touching 97mph, quite a weapon to deploy a couple times a week.  There is a large risk of bust with this signing, but the potential reward if Solis clicks makes him a worthwhile gamble at this price.

In rather stealth fashion, Monday news broke the Washington Nationals had agreed to a 2-year deal worth $10 million with free agent Kurt Suzuki.  The terms of the deal have the 35-year-old catcher earning $4 million in 2019 and $6 million in 2020.  This move signifies a homecoming for Suzuki, as he played 122 games for Washington in 2012 and 2013.  In addition, this is the third significant acquisition by the Nationals already this offseason, as they previously traded for Kyle Barraclough and signed Trevor Rosenthal.

The right-handed hitting Suzuki had a strong 2018 playing for division rival Atlanta, batting .271/.332/.444 with 12 home runs in 105 games.  Over his 12-year career, he is a .258/.315/.387 hitter and has slugged 114 home runs.  Of note, he is particularly adept at avoiding strike outs, as evidenced by his 43 strikeouts in 348 at-bats last season and career 11.7% strikeout rate.  Suzuki should provide a dramatic upgrade offensively at catcher for Washington, which saw a collective .214/.304/.320 batting line in 2018.

Defensively Suzuki’s skills lag behind his bat, as he is below-average at throwing out opposing baserunners and has poor marks as a pitch framer.  On the other hand, he is terrific at blocking errant pitches in the dirt and has a strong reputation calling pitches.  The pitch framing weakness is concerning, but Suzuki is likely a below-average to fringe-average defensive catcher at this stage of his career.
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Overall this feels like a tremendous addition by the Nationals.  I still hope Washington adds another catcher this winter to pair with Suzuki, both to improve the position in 2019 and allow youngsters Spencer Kieboom, Raudy Read and Pedro Severino additional seasoning in the minors.  In addition, acquiring said catcher would allow Suzuki to play closer to 80-100 games next season, which should keep him fresher down the stretch and help extend his career.

Certainly we must acknowledge the inherent risks of signing any 35-year-old player, let alone a catcher, even if he has caught 94+ games 10 of the past 11 seasons.  And Suzuki is not the defensive dynamo every team covets from a catcher.  Yet, the combination of his above-average hitting and fringe-average defense makes him a league-average, starting catcher.  This is a savvy move by Washington’s front office, and on a “risk vs. return” basis, I expect this to be a contender for wisest free agent signing this offseason.

NatsGM Grade   ->   B+

Like a mayor at a town parade, yesterday Washington’s General Manager Mike Rizzo kicked off the 2018-2019 Hot Stove Season, signing free agent RHP Trevor Rosenthal, pending a physical, to bolster their bullpen.  The terms of the contract are rather complicated, as it is a one-year pact worth $6 million plus incentives, and there is a mutual option for $7 million plus incentives for 2020.  Ultimately, Rosenthal is guaranteed $7 million total and can earn a maximum of $28 million over the next two seasons.

The 28-year-old righty missed the entire 2018 season recovering from September 2017 Tommy John surgery.  Prior to the injury, Rosenthal had spent his entire six-year career with St. Louis and established himself as one of the best closers in the National League.  Rosenthal has a career 2.99 ERA and 121 saves over 325 innings, with 435 strikeouts.  His command was not ideal, but he overwhelmed hitters with an upper-90s fastball and a nasty slider, along with an occasional changeup and curveball.  Rosenthal’s workload will need to be closely monitored in his first season returning post-surgery, but he should work as Washington’s primary setup man in 2019, while collecting the occasional save.

On pure reputation this signing is a slam dunk, as just one surgery and 18 months ago, Rosenthal was one of the ten best relievers in baseball.  Fast forward to now, and he is now available for a $7 million guarantee, plus incentives, to shut down the opposition in the 8^th inning and provide closer depth behind Sean Doolittle.  The Nationals, like much of baseball, are prioritizing velocity in the late-inning relievers, and the team now projects to have three relievers in Doolittle, Rosenthal and Kyle Barraclough with closing experience who throw in the upper-90s.
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Yet we must acknowledge the health risks involved with Rosenthal post-Tommy John surgery, and the limitations he will work under in 2019.  Two of the main reasons the Nationals’ bullpen struggled in 2018 was their lack of pitchers who could throw multiple innings or pitch on consecutive days, something Rosenthal does not resolve.

Even considering these issues and his healthy guaranteed salary, this has to be seen as a win for the Nationals.  The team desperately needed to overhaul their bullpen this winter, and the acquisitions of Barraclough and Rosenthal has their relief corps suddenly looking intriguing for 2019.  Additionally, Rosenthal also brings valuable playoff experience to a youthful relief corps.  In what should be an active and competitive free agent market for relievers this offseason, Rosenthal’s contract will look like a relative bargain come Opening Day.

NatsGM Grade   ->           B+