Who Is The Biggest Disappointment on the 2015 Washington Nationals

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Who Is THE Best Surprise Player for the 2015 Washington Nationals

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NatsGM Prospect Potpourri – Clint Frazier, Drake Fellows and Avery Tuck

Clint Frazier

Clint Frazier

Clint Frazier OF Cleveland Indians

Dates Scouted:   5+ Times in 2015

7-Word Scouting Report:    Massive Bat Speed, Potential Above-Average 2-Way CF

Selected by Cleveland 5th overall in the 2013 draft, Frazier spent this season splitting time between center field and right field for High-A Lynchburg.  Playing as a 20-year-old this season Frazier hit .285/.377/.465 with 16 home runs and 15 stolen bases in 133 games played.

Offensively Frazier has top-of-the-scale bat speed, lightning-quick wrists and a reasonably compact swing.  His balance needs work as his lower-half can get anxious, which causes him to strike out rather frequently.  That said he is still only 21-years-old (just turned it) and competed extremely well in the Carolina League this season.  The ball sounds different off the bat and he punishes fastballs in the strike zone.  Given some additional experience and refinement at the plate, Frazier could develop into a “50/55” hitter with “60” raw power in the big leagues.

Defensively opinions are mixed on his long-term position both due to the presence of Bradley Zimmer and his reasonable athleticism for center field.  Frazier has a plus arm and shows good carry on his throws.  He possesses good but not elite speed and agility, perhaps making him a better fit in right field than center.  Frazier still needs game action to refine his skills, but he profiles as a “50/55” defensive center fielder or “60” corner outfielder.
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As you can read, I really like Clint Frazier.  Though I do worry about his inconsistent effort displayed at times and fear potential injury because of how he plays when he does hustle, I try to temper my opinion of him.  However, I cannot avoid seeing an above-average two-way centerfielder in Frazier and potential for more if he builds on his monster 2nd half.  The mere thought of a future outfield in Cleveland of Michael Brantley, Zimmer and Frazier gives me chills.

Drake Fellows RHP Plainfield, Illinois – Perfect Game All-American Classic 8/16/15

Another in the impressive group of players signed to play collegiately at Vanderbilt, Fellows looks like a monster on the mound, standing 6-5 205lbs with the potential to add more weight in the future. His motion has more movement than one would ideally see, as he turns his back to the hitter and throws somewhat across his body. This provides deception but is difficult to replicate and maintain as a starting pitcher throwing 90+ pitches per outing.

Nevertheless Fellows flashed an impressive 3-pitch repertoire featuring an 88-91mph fastball with excellent sinking action, along with an above-average changeup with arm-side wiggle and a 77-79mph slider with solid tilt. Fellows needs to soften his delivery in order to improve his fastball command and would benefit from increasing his extension toward home during release of the baseball. These critiques aside, Fellows has an outstanding pitchers’ build along with the potential for three average or better pitches. Fellows looks like a top-3 round pick next summer and it will be interesting to see if a team will be able to buy him away from his Vanderbilt commitment.

Avery Tuck RF San Diego, California – Perfect Game All-American Classic 8/16/15

A lithe 6-5 195lbs Tuck is one of the best athletes in this draft class with legitimate five tool potential. Tuck has some excess length in his left-handed swing, but flashes lightning-quick wrists and noticeable bat speed. He has impressive power, especially toward the pull side, and shows the ability to make contact with quality velocity. Tuck will need to shorten his swing as he sees faster velocity but he has a chance to have an average hit tool along with plus raw power down the road. In addition Tuck has solid speed and a strong right-handed arm, allowing him to profile well defensively in right field. He is  raw but Tuck has loud tools rarely seen on a baseball diamond and projects as an easy 1st round pick.

Scouting Notes on Washington Nationals Prospect Pedro Severino

Pedro Severino

Dates Scouted:   4 Times in 2015, 20+ Times Overall

7-Word Scouting Report:    Potential “6” Defensive Catcher, Questionable Bat, Raw

Signed by the Nationals for $55,000 as an international free agent from the Dominican Republic in December 2010, Pedro Severino has quietly progressed through the Nationals’ farm system the past four years. The 22-year-old Severino spent the majority of 2015 as the starting catcher for Double-A Harrisburg, playing in 91 games and batting .246/.288/.331 with 5 home runs and 34 runs batted in.  Recently he was promoted to Washington during the September roster expansion to serve as the Nationals 3rd catcher.

Offensively Severino possesses some bat speed but struggles with the length of his right-handed swing, which hinders his ability to make hard contact in game action. During batting practice Severino flashes some raw power to his pull side and an aptitude for putting the bat on the baseball. Severino showed signs of improvement with the bat in the 2nd half of 2014, but the jump to Double-A in 2015 proved difficult. His swing does not have any obvious flaws, except for the length, and he is still young, but the underwhelming production is concerning. Without some swing improvements and turning potential into results, Severino projects as a future “35/40” hitter with “25/30” raw power at the big league level.

Behind the plate Severino has earned the reputation as one of the better defensive catchers currently in the minors. He possesses a plus throwing arm and a quick release, which allows him to routinely post sub-1.95 second pop times to second base. Severino has soft hands and is proficient at framing pitches, but will occasionally stab lazily when receiving the baseball. He is a good athlete for a catcher and shows a knack for blocking errant pitches in the dirt. Listed at 6-2 200lbs Severino looks lean for a position and will need to add mass to withstand the rigors of catching in the major leagues. Severino needs to improve his consistency receiving the baseball but he projects as a “55/60” or above-average to plus defensive catcher in the majors.

Severino is truly enjoyable to watch defensively and his skills behind the plate should allow him to spend more than just this September in the major leagues. He currently profiles as a backup catcher due to his struggles at the plate, with a ceiling as a below-average starting catcher if he develops offensively. I expect Severino to return to Harrisburg to begin 2016 and next season will be vital to his long-term development as a hitter.

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In addition, I reached out to Mick Reinhard, who covers the Harrisburg Senators for PennLive, The Patriot-News, and Mayflies & Big Flies for his thoughts on Severino.  Kindly he shared this with me:

“I believe Seve wore down as the season went on. He came out of the chute catching 5 or 6 games per week when the season started and looked phenomenal behind the plate doing it (watch his throws from Opening Night)

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But by the second half of the season, he just looked worn down behind the plate both physically and mentally. His pop times were a lot closer to 2.00 and his focus seemed to wane. Not just more passed balls, but a lot more wild pitches that he could have prevented or should have controlled better. Whereas in April and May he was light on his feet with excellent lateral movement, by July and August it was like they were in cement.

His aggressiveness remained though and that was a positive as a he was quick to show off his arm on pickoff attempts behind runners.”